re: investing
I trade equities, commodities sometimes bonds and crypto for a living. Personally I believe things are a bit frothy right now in most markets which is not surprising given the inflationary environment. Markets trend up with time for sure but right now leverage is high and volume is decreasing, so by the principles of auction market theory we are due for a huge shakeout soon and a return to fairer values, and that would be a much lower risk time to buy.
You can see here the SPX adjusted for money supply is at resistance well above the rally-adjusted volume weighted average price and is now trading at a higher money supply adjusted price than the 2007 bull market top. RISKY!
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Bonds and gold are usually inversely related to equities so they are due for a run soon, but when they run they are not usually particularly high growth.
If you wanted to be really hands off I would take notice of the fear and greed indicators and buy world indexes during times of fear. They are typically made of consistent performers with inversely correlated hedges weighted in.
Posted By: oli470 on November 17th 2021 at 20:42:27
Message Thread
- Investing - advice / comments welcome (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 15:58:50
- re: investing (General Chat) - oli470, Nov 17, 20:42:27
- Watch prof Alex Edmonds' lectures at Gresham college. (General Chat) - KevinBond, Nov 17, 19:57:15
- Buy ETFs. (n/m) (General Chat) - LeftSide, Nov 17, 19:13:16
- Elephant Tusk Finials (n/m) (General Chat) - Jumbo1, Nov 17, 19:23:18
- Invest it in a Jumbo1 business opportunity (n/m) (General Chat) - Jumbo1, Nov 17, 19:09:18
- I'm not an IFA but became interested in this a few years ago (General Chat) - Ruttles, Nov 17, 19:09:13
- If you invest with me I guarantee satisfaction (n/m) (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Nov 17, 19:09:10
- ^arse cheque (n/m) (General Chat) - Jumbo1, Nov 17, 19:24:48
- 100% agree with Cardiff Canary. (General Chat) - SeattleSounders, Nov 17, 18:51:07
- Lots of good advice already (General Chat) - Old Man, Nov 17, 18:32:32
- There’s a slightly old (pre financial crisis) book called “Simple but not easy” which is a (General Chat) - Old Git, Nov 17, 18:19:56
- Unlike my Garry who’s both simple and easy (n/m) (General Chat) - Jumbo1, Nov 17, 19:06:26
- Buy a load of coke, get a couple of hookers and put the rest on red 👍 (n/m) (General Chat) - Captain Bligh, Nov 17, 18:11:31
- ^^ Wayne Rooney’s IFA ^^ (n/m) (General Chat) - Old Git, Nov 17, 18:15:43
- 🤣 (n/m) (General Chat) - Captain Bligh, Nov 17, 18:16:47
- That is shocking advice (General Chat) - Kangol Canary, Nov 17, 18:13:16
- ^^ Wayne Rooney’s IFA ^^ (n/m) (General Chat) - Old Git, Nov 17, 18:15:43
- lots of good and bad info on the tinternet so try and sift out the good stuff (General Chat) - Tombs, Nov 17, 17:35:13
- My advice use a world tracker if you are under 40 100% equities (General Chat) - pinkney, Nov 17, 17:32:21
- No one’s mentioned dividends, they can make quite a difference to your overall gains (n/m) (General Chat) - Augustus Pablo, Nov 17, 17:17:53
- I use both IG and HL (Hargreaves Landsdown) (General Chat) - Old Splat, Nov 17, 17:06:50
- ^minted (n/m) (General Chat) - Jumbo1, Nov 17, 20:12:52
- Thanks, that spreadsheet idea is right up my street (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 17:12:37
- Couple of quick questions (General Chat) - JoeyDeacon, Nov 17, 16:59:57
- No, the investment that I've already made was just a punt - no advice save for reading a (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 17:07:14
- What would USAC do? (n/m) (General Chat) - tudders, Nov 17, 16:52:14
- Since you asked and didn't have some kind of meltdown tilt.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Nov 17, 17:00:49
- This is actually pretty much what Warren Buffett would say (General Chat) - Old Git, Nov 17, 18:15:11
- 👍 (n/m) (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 17:12:58
- Since you asked and didn't have some kind of meltdown tilt.... (General Chat) - usacanary, Nov 17, 17:00:49
- what you should really do (General Chat) - Henclrikus, Nov 17, 16:39:58
- That's just not true............ (General Chat) - usacanary, Nov 17, 17:06:54
- All good advice here already (General Chat) - Cardiff Canary, Nov 17, 16:36:03
- Match risk up with time scale is the basic rule (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Nov 17, 16:28:32
- Meant to reply to Munich93! (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Nov 17, 16:30:01
- Cheers, much appreciated (n/m) (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 17:13:32
- Meant to reply to Munich93! (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Nov 17, 16:30:01
- Buy high..sell low! simples. (n/m) (General Chat) - KevinBond, Nov 17, 16:19:32
- Just wondering why you went for high risk as a novice? (General Chat) - Munich93, Nov 17, 16:13:06
- Because I'm (fairly) young and can leave that investment in situ to ride out any slumps (n/m) (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 16:14:50
- The advice below around spreading the risk is good imo (General Chat) - Munich93, Nov 17, 16:23:54
- Because I'm (fairly) young and can leave that investment in situ to ride out any slumps (n/m) (General Chat) - NxNW, Nov 17, 16:14:50
- only invest what you can afford to lose (General Chat) - pab, Nov 17, 16:10:29
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