I think it gives quite a good sense

of who to be worried about, and how much to worry about them and yourself, which is important given that in the next cple of weeks, people are going to be returning to work and so on

Having said all that, I'm not completely sure I follow his statistic:
if I stand a 50% chance of dying this year but (eg) a 100% chance of catching coronavirus (from which I also stand a 50% chance of dying) does that mean my overall chances of dying this year have remained at 50%, or increased? And if so, to what?

If I do something which exposes me to a 50% of death, and yet I live and do it again, I think I have a 75% chance of death overall - 3 of 4 possible outcomes being death - but I'm not quite sure that's the same.

Posted By: paulg on May 4th 2020 at 14:42:46

Message Thread

vaguely comforting thought (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 14:01:40
- There are some BIG questions to ask ourselves... (Coronavirus) - usacanary, May 4, 15:31:17
- Comforting if your only concerns are your own mortality and not the impact your actions (Coronavirus) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, May 4, 14:52:52
  - no that's not true (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 15:02:24
    - Have to agree to disagree on that one (Coronavirus) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, May 4, 15:16:06
      - why is that disagreeing with me? (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 15:22:14
        
        Exactly. (Coronavirus) - usacanary, May 4, 15:34:57
        
        *maths (Coronavirus) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, May 4, 15:41:50
        
        Stop with the math/maths, its fucking interchangeable. (Coronavirus) - usacanary, May 4, 16:05:39
        
        Apologies for the math/maths things, wasn't expecting you to tilt so massively about it (Coronavirus) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, May 4, 16:19:23
        
        your first line.... (Coronavirus) - usacanary, May 4, 16:22:34
        
        I might not like uptick, but I actually agree with you on this one (Coronavirus) - camcan, May 4, 16:10:50
        
        I like parsley (Coronavirus) - Tombs, May 4, 16:40:56
        
        Do you know I actually like curly too? (Coronavirus) - camcan, May 4, 17:25:57
        
        Yeah, like how to spell "realise" dammit. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 16:14:17
        
        There's a reason they are not leaving it up to people to make their own personal risk (Coronavirus) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, May 4, 15:29:06
        
        Well unsuprisingly, that's not quite what I was suggesting (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 15:39:44
- Isn’t it largely dependent on your age and health? (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, May 4, 14:16:04
  - So yeah if you weren’t worried before (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, May 4, 14:17:58
    - I think it gives quite a good sense (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 14:42:46
      - Yes definitely many people are unnecessarily worried (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, May 4, 14:49:52
        
        Yes, it must increase, because there's an additional hazard (Coronavirus) - paulg, May 4, 15:01:06

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.