Mathematically, to guarantee it

We're two points ahead of third (whether or not Leeds win the game in hand). So if they win all their remaining games, to stay ahead of them we need to win all our remaining games; or win 12/13 and draw one but end up with a better GD than them.

In practice though as fond says if we run at ~2pts/game from here to the end we'd have to be very unlucky not to go up.

I'm not sure if anyone's ever got 90pts or more and not gone up - that's as good a threshold as any to think of (and where you get if we win MB's eight and lose the other five as well)

Posted By: Old Man on February 25th 2019 at 11:54:19

Message Thread

NBBTTT (NCFC) - Azteca, Feb 25, 11:25:05
- How about we win all of them. Thats got to be the mentality (NCFC) - Timmy_Goat, Feb 25, 12:07:16
  - That's Numberwang! (n/m) (NCFC) - Worthing Yellow, Feb 25, 14:44:18
  - That is a great set of numbers 👍🏻 (n/m) (NCFC) - Old Git, Feb 25, 12:22:18
- think you mean the minimum we need? (NCFC) - fond, Feb 25, 11:38:23
  - No, the most we will need (NCFC) - Azteca, Feb 25, 11:44:14
    - Mathematically, to guarantee it (NCFC) - Old Man, Feb 25, 11:54:19
      - My calculations are that we can’t guarantee second... (NCFC) - biffbro, Feb 25, 12:52:07
        
        Sorry slight edit - should be second to Leeds but above SU (n/m) (NCFC) - biffbro, Feb 25, 12:54:54
      - Didn’t SCC38 say the other day Sunderland were the last to fail with 90 in 1999? (NCFC) - APB, Feb 25, 12:00:05
        
        Yep he did (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 25, 14:20:10
        
        Someone even sadder than me will be along with actual numbers presently (NCFC) - Old Man, Feb 25, 12:01:24
        
        Hard to believe Posh went down with 54 points when you look at the sh*te at the bottom (NCFC) - Jim, Feb 25, 12:22:03
        
        Duly obliges (n/m) (NCFC) - Jim, Feb 25, 12:04:54
      - 11/12 not 12/13, Brom suspected but didn't say anything (n/m) (NCFC) - Old Man, Feb 25, 11:55:16
        
        Thanks, that's phrased better. So Bailey's..... (NCFC) - Azteca, Feb 25, 11:58:57
        
        Only mathematically :) In practical terms I agree with him (n/m) (NCFC) - Old Man, Feb 25, 11:59:57
        
        👍 (n/m) (NCFC) - Azteca, Feb 25, 12:15:43
    - Or 'worse case scenario' if you prefer (n/m) (NCFC) - Azteca, Feb 25, 11:46:49
      - Most points each team can get (NCFC) - Jim, Feb 25, 12:02:18
        
        We can win all bar one and draw the other as long as our GD is superior (n/m) (NCFC) - Old Man, Feb 25, 12:05:45
        
        Yes that is true but there is no guarantee that will be the case so the answer to the (NCFC) - Jim, Feb 25, 12:11:22

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