No - I'm fundamentally disagreeing with you. I think the opposite.

Another point to bear in mind: leavers might be more motivated, but they are also more heavily drawn from social groups that have a habit of saying they will vote and then not doing so.

Posted By: Sir Thomas on April 28th 2016 at 22:12:25

Message Thread

Will their be a Brexit landside in the EU referendum? I don't know anyone who wants in. (General Chat) - jimbo, Apr 28, 21:06:12
- OUT..... (General Chat) - hoolahan, Apr 28, 23:55:10
- I'd say 90% of people I've discussed it with still haven't decided (n/m) (General Chat) - Tony Martin, Apr 28, 22:53:24
  - Agreed. Few people seem to care about EU vote, more bothered by plans for schools & NHS (n/m) (General Chat) - Larry Hagman, Apr 28, 22:56:40
    - quite rightly so (General Chat) - Tombs, Apr 28, 23:04:37
      - Loads of Tories I know are v.angry about plans to make all state schools academies (n/m) (General Chat) - Larry Hagman, Apr 28, 23:12:41
        
        ooh, i'm sorry i dont know loads of tories (General Chat) - Tombs, Apr 28, 23:17:45
- That's odd (General Chat) - Duck, Apr 28, 22:46:30
  - I only know one person who wants out, (General Chat) - I Am Hoot, Apr 28, 23:19:12
  - I know very few. (n/m) (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 22:54:01
- Gisela Stuart, a sensible Labour MP, born in Germany but moved here in her late (General Chat) - Higher Wrather, Apr 28, 22:35:54
  - Does she have any actual supporting analysis ? That's what I'm missing. (n/m) (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 22:55:01
    - PRECISELY! (Answer is no!) (n/m) (General Chat) - Chopper, Apr 28, 23:05:52
  - But can she spell? (n/m) (General Chat) - Tony Martin, Apr 28, 22:39:00
- Why do you want out? What advantage do you think (General Chat) - Chopper, Apr 28, 22:31:47
- Can't understand why anyone would want to leave (General Chat) - Chopper, Apr 28, 22:29:46
  - Of course not. But then an outer would say you have no balls. You can't be (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 22:53:19
    - And there lies the problem with the Outers Steve. (General Chat) - Chopper, Apr 28, 23:04:46
      - Nonsense. It's the other way round. (n/m) (General Chat) - Jim, Apr 29, 09:19:16
      - Exactly. Yet sadly as gustav le Bon described, that's precisely how to manipulate a crowd (n/m) (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 23:11:15
        
        Those who have something to gain from us leaving the EU are the issue for me. (n/m) (General Chat) - APB, Apr 28, 23:16:44
- I have yet to read a social media post by an outer without spelling and grammar errors. (n/m) (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 22:07:03
  - How very childish (n/m) (General Chat) - Sonic, Apr 28, 22:25:19
    - It's a statement of fact. I'm yet to read any argument supported (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 22:50:00
      - Trouble with facts (General Chat) - harry boulders, Apr 28, 22:57:33
        
        I have no idea. I've seen nothing from the outlets which I can judge. (n/m) (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 23:13:09
  - How very outre! (n/m) (General Chat) - Garry Brooke, Apr 28, 22:16:38
- The thing that's getting on my tits is. (General Chat) - harry boulders, Apr 28, 21:53:25
  - There is force to that argument, though (General Chat) - Old Man, Apr 28, 21:57:18
    - but thats just you saying we'd be better off in than out with no justification same as the (General Chat) - Tombs, Apr 28, 22:00:01
      - Nothing is perfect anywhere. But nobody has any substance to their arguments and it is (General Chat) - Steve in Holland, Apr 28, 23:45:46
  - Going to the dentist is pretty crap (General Chat) - mr carra, Apr 28, 21:55:44
    - like good oral hygiene and a healthy diet? (n/m) (General Chat) - Tombs, Apr 28, 22:05:08
- I'm voting out (General Chat) - Tombs, Apr 28, 21:50:22
- Grudging "remain", is my prediction. Something like 54-46. (General Chat) - Old Man, Apr 28, 21:40:57
  - the campaigns have been dismal so far (General Chat) - matt in london, Apr 28, 21:46:20
- Views on Brexit are extremely predictable based on geography, demographics, education etc. (General Chat) - King, Apr 28, 21:38:23
  - The same applies to many different subjects too. (n/m) (General Chat) - harry boulders, Apr 28, 21:45:56
    - Yeah, when I'm at Carrow Road, everyone there supports Norwich. (n/m) (General Chat) - Trent_Canary, Apr 28, 22:03:24
    - Yes, but there aren't referenda on those things. (n/m) (General Chat) - King, Apr 28, 21:48:43
- Everyone I know are inners (n/m) (General Chat) - CB41, Apr 28, 21:33:38
- I was thinking it may be like the general election. (General Chat) - avenging canary, Apr 28, 21:30:02
  - In general I don't think the leavers are shy at all. Quite the opposite, in fact. (n/m) (General Chat) - Sir Thomas, Apr 28, 21:59:27
    - That's the point. (General Chat) - avenging canary, Apr 28, 22:06:53
      - No - I'm fundamentally disagreeing with you. I think the opposite. (General Chat) - Sir Thomas, Apr 28, 22:12:25
        
        Based on what evidence? (General Chat) - avenging canary, Apr 28, 22:19:54
        
        Sorry, it's not an assumption. It's based on polling. These (n/m) (General Chat) - Sir Thomas, Apr 28, 22:23:14
        
        ...issues have already been mentioned quite a bit by analysts. (n/m) (General Chat) - Sir Thomas, Apr 28, 22:24:21
        
        The polls and analysts were spot on for the general election... (General Chat) - avenging canary, Apr 28, 22:27:30
        
        But I'm talking about actual results as well as pre-election polls. (General Chat) - Sir Thomas, Apr 28, 22:40:26
        
        But that's what I mean. We don't know who is eurosceptic or not yet... (General Chat) - avenging canary, Apr 29, 04:45:43
        
        Were they? I didn't think a majority was anticipated (n/m) (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Apr 28, 22:30:24
        
        Whoosh! (n/m) (General Chat) - avenging canary, Apr 28, 22:33:59
        
        Oh I see (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Apr 28, 22:59:43
  - ^this (n/m) (General Chat) - Chris Peacock, Apr 28, 21:41:06
- I think inners will win cause people's default is whst they know - (General Chat) - Men without hats, Apr 28, 21:27:11
- I feel the same but maybe its just that we live in a area with high immigration (n/m) (General Chat) - ihateipswich, Apr 28, 21:26:24
- The bookies have it well in favour of staying in (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Apr 28, 21:24:25
- People that want to stay probably just less vocal... (General Chat) - loz, Apr 28, 21:09:52
  - Yep (n/m) (General Chat) - CWC, Apr 28, 21:30:54
  - They are certainly more vocal. If you an inner amongst a group of outers.... (General Chat) - jimbo, Apr 28, 21:16:32
  - yeah agreed (General Chat) - Worzel Scrimmage, Apr 28, 21:13:45
    - IF they can be encouraged, yes. The outers more motivated I woud say. (n/m) (General Chat) - jimbo, Apr 28, 21:18:13
      - definitely, they have a hardcore or support regardless of the campaigns (General Chat) - Worzel Scrimmage, Apr 28, 21:23:12
        
        In campaign needs to drop project fear and just start selling the EU (General Chat) - CWC, Apr 28, 21:41:17
        
        yep, you've got to say it'll be a lot easier to mobilise the outers (General Chat) - Worzel Scrimmage, Apr 28, 21:44:29
  - I'm a (n/m) (General Chat) - Jumbo1, Apr 28, 21:13:28
    - bout to have another beer (n/m) (General Chat) - Old Man, Apr 28, 21:53:29
    - hot date (General Chat) - Old Git, Apr 28, 21:47:03
    - hot date (General Chat) - Old Git, Apr 28, 21:42:50
    - Little teapot (n/m) (General Chat) - Men without hats, Apr 28, 21:24:35
    - Lesbian vegan. (n/m) (General Chat) - harry boulders, Apr 28, 21:19:59
    - ideot (General Chat) - Chris Peacock, Apr 28, 21:16:51
    - Tiger (n/m) (General Chat) - harry boulders, Apr 28, 21:16:26

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