Apart from it being a peer reviewed and statistically sound study......

which analysed over 400 'dips in form' and shows that the expected result was pretty much the same whether the manager was changed or not.....

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Posted By: Johnny Comecardiff on November 5th 2013 at 16:27:49

Message Thread

Ken Brown (NCFC) - norway, Nov 5, 16:08:05
- when we were 19th with 11 points from 14 games (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:12:31
  - Reversion to mean? (n/m) (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:21:00
    - Yes, assume that works positively as well as negatively... (n/m) (NCFC) - duke of york, Nov 5, 16:21:35
      - In essence.... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:24:06
        
        every case is different (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:25:30
        
        Apart from it being a peer reviewed and statistically sound study...... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:27:49
        
        define a dip in form? (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:29:15
        
        Read it for yourself (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:33:49
        
        and wtf is our normal long term position in the league? (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:35:07
        
        To the nearest round number, our average position in the last 20 years (NCFC) - norway, Nov 5, 16:43:36
        
        well if we keep hughton (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:44:33
        
        can't open it but pretty sure it's all bollocks anyway (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:36:27
        
        Marvellous..... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:40:11
        
        ok we shouldn't have sacked worthington, grant, roeder or gunn (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:42:00
        
        Marvellous..... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:43:16
        
        thought you might (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:44:59
        
        Arf..... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:47:55
        
        Interesting stuff. Of course big differences between the 'average' outcome and individual (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Nov 5, 16:58:37
        
        Absolutely. (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 17:35:37
        
        and does this by showing the short term effect of a managerial change... (NCFC) - phrankin, Nov 5, 19:11:33
        
        Still think there will have been some successes and some failures (NCFC) - duke of york, Nov 5, 16:56:05
        
        Not at all. (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 19:01:41
        
        well i'm sure we can (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 19:08:00
        
        I'll tell you what... if we are in the drop zone with 4 games to go (NCFC) - phrankin, Nov 5, 19:10:46
        
        yes there are 10 or so teams who are always in the prem (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 16:53:39
        
        And as current examples of why changing your manager is a bad idea..... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:49:02
        
        sunderland stayed up (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 17:00:02
        
        Thats the basis of the analysis right there.... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 18:20:12
        
        ??? (n/m) (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 18:52:53
        
        it's a very poor study (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 18:53:43
        
        that's fairly damning then thanks! (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 18:26:17
        
        bit too soon to judge sunderland (NCFC) - earlydoors, Nov 5, 16:53:03
        
        I was more referring to Di Canio (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 16:55:27
        
        and they'd have reverted to the mean under MON? (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 17:01:37
        
        Depends on your timeframe. (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Nov 5, 18:57:05
        
        yeah but they got the lift needed to stay up (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 19:00:39
        
        looks like JCC thought your opinion was just a noise (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Nov 5, 18:21:16
        
        but hopefully not a stalker... (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 18:27:41
        
        still waiting to find out what I'm supposedly "deluded" about (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Nov 5, 18:42:30
        
        can't say i even remember (NCFC) - SCC 28, Nov 5, 18:44:59
        
        make your baseless accusations then claim ignorance. Charming (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Nov 5, 18:48:29
        
        Too many human and tactical variables (NCFC) - duke of york, Nov 5, 16:26:25
- We've all got Twitter pal (n/m) (NCFC) - duke of york, Nov 5, 16:09:16
  - I haven't (n/m) (NCFC) - Old Git, Nov 5, 16:22:50
    - neither do i (n/m) (NCFC) - Tombs, Nov 5, 17:05:10
  - I like to present my amazing facts on more than one forum. (NCFC) - norway, Nov 5, 16:10:41
    - I enjoyed it (NCFC) - Old Git, Nov 5, 16:23:07
      - You're very welcome and thank you (NCFC) - norway, Nov 5, 16:29:49
        
        it's a rubbish fact i'm afraid (NCFC) - Tombs, Nov 5, 17:07:18

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