the key point about last year's table on Dec 31

the team in 18th (Fulham) had 19 points from 19 games.
That's unusually high - right now the team in 18th (Wigan) have 15 points (4 less) from a game more.

It shouldn't be forgotten that even with their horrendous collapse (which we are unlikely to repeat) Blackpool STILL would have stayed up pretty much any other year.

No-one is going to get relegated with 40 points this year.

It would take two freak occurrences (a collapse like Blackpool's and unusually improved performances from the currently struggling teams) occurring simultaneously to see us relegated from here.

But I'll still feel happier with the points in the bag!

Posted By: mr carra on January 4th 2012 at 12:42:05

Message Thread

Blackpool comparisons again (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 11:25:25
- 15 points required... (NCFC) - Dog, Jan 4, 12:17:11
  - Yes, although we won't win all those games. But looking good (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:26:04
    - We will get enough I think (NCFC) - Jim, Jan 4, 12:34:39
- I'm sure you agree with me but so fucking what ? Seriously, what have (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:06:30
  - So the only reason I think this is interesting is because (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:13:21
    - The only reason all these comparisons with Blackpool started, and even before the season, (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:23:14
      - linkage, soz (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:23:29
        
        One thing is for sure (NCFC) - phrankin, Jan 4, 12:42:49
    - Their first half wasn't as great as their points suggested. (NCFC) - tim berry, Jan 4, 12:15:51
      - this poitn you keep making about it mattering who you beat (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:19:16
        
        the key point about last year's table on Dec 31 (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 4, 12:42:05
        
        As I said before, I don't think that's quite right (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:45:31
        
        The last time 15 points was 18th position 34 points stayed up (NCFC) - phrankin, Jan 4, 12:48:27
        
        Yep and the last time a team had 15 points in 18th (NCFC) - phrankin, Jan 4, 12:44:56
        
        Read your first paragraph back to see how massively important that is ! (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:26:42
        
        but it's all captuted in the league table. There's no 'additional benefit' from beating (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:35:15
        
        In the context of this being half way through a season I think it is important (NCFC) - phrankin, Jan 4, 12:41:28
        
        Take a look at the final 2010-11 table, Tricky... (NCFC) - tim berry, Jan 4, 12:41:12
        
        But that's not the right comparison (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:47:53
        
        But they only have the points they have because they all beat Blackpool. (n/m) (NCFC) - tim berry, Jan 4, 12:50:39
        
        I was talking about this year (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:53:43
        
        to only *win* 2 or 3 more games (n/m) (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:54:28
        
        Not guaranteed as 34 points stayed up last time 18th had 15 points (n/m) (NCFC) - phrankin, Jan 4, 12:49:19
        
        Indeed, not guaranteed. But I don't think the teams at the bottom are as weak this year (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 12:50:40
        
        perhaps, Mind you 6 *Top* sides could push the tally lower (NCFC) - phrankin, Jan 4, 12:52:59
        
        6 pointers... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Jan 4, 12:30:40
- Blackpool failed to beat/take points from the teams at the bottom/below them (NCFC) - tim berry, Jan 4, 11:59:45
- Blackpool signed James Beattie this time last year (n/m) (NCFC) - lurd, Jan 4, 11:44:05
- Here are some tables showing this stage of the season in the previous 10 years: (NCFC) - Dog, Jan 4, 11:36:31
  - I feel like the pool supervisor on The Day Today going through them (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 11:46:08
    - Perhaps a bit more pertinent... (NCFC) - Dog, Jan 4, 11:58:03
    - I mean I could go on. (n/m) (NCFC) - jafski, Jan 4, 11:54:52
      - When was the incident with the pigeon? (n/m) (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 11:56:50
        
        You must love Chris Morris right off (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 12:01:30
        
        I have Brass Eye & The Day Today on DVD. I've watched them a few (too many) times. (n/m) (NCFC) - jafski, Jan 4, 12:03:52
        
        Wrong place entut (n/m) (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 12:01:44
        
        1982 (n/m) (NCFC) - jafski, Jan 4, 11:58:00
- oddly, their next (21st) game - the start of their collapse - was West Brom away... (n/m) (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 11:32:11
  - *gulp* (n/m) (NCFC) - Dandy Highburyman, Jan 4, 11:42:54
    - yes. I wish I hadn't seen that, a bit. (n/m) (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 11:44:05
- Only an ideot would say we're safe (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 11:31:12
  - don't disagree - of course there's no reasno we should follow their footsteps (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 4, 11:36:38
    - But we all know that. When we reach the 40 point mark and are still 10 pts ahead, then (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:10:29
  - We're safe. (n/m) (NCFC) - jafski, Jan 4, 11:34:57
    - Proof (n/m) (NCFC) - Steve in Holland, Jan 4, 12:06:49
    - Ideot! (n/m) (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 11:36:26
      - You're right, we're actually in danger because of what happened to Blackpool. (n/m) (NCFC) - jafski, Jan 4, 11:37:18
        
        Ideot! (n/m) (NCFC) - King, Jan 4, 11:38:17

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