From the Times

User Posted Link

"Sudden shifts of half a goal in Asian Handicap matches are not unprecedented, but they are unlikely. However, it was pointed out that normally six Asian bookmakers would have been covering the match rather than two, so the market would have been weaker and more prone to swings based on a few large bets. It is understood that betting of about ?100,000 in such a market could have swung the odds so heavily towards Norwich"

I assume that all comes from their "Betting industry insiders" sources (probably unknown posters on internet message boards...) Nowhere do they estimate the total size of the market or quote what's usual. Note that such swings are "not unprecedented"...

The more I think about it, the more I can't help feeling that it's simply that: somebody making a large (whatever that means) speculative punt that moved the market enough.

Posted By: BerlinCanary on October 18th 2008 at 09:27:52

Message Thread

A few thoughts on this "fixed" match (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 08:48:02
- disagree in parts (NCFC) - Small, Oct 18, 12:12:03
  - There was money going on us at half-time which suggests that (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 12:40:49
    - I'd be more inclined to agree if it wasn't considered unusual (n/m) (NCFC) - Small, Oct 18, 14:28:06
      - Except that (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 14:35:07
  - if i'd paid a goalkeeper to throw a match (NCFC) - blindasabat, Oct 18, 12:33:33
  - Its not (NCFC) - DPLOTBC, Oct 18, 12:28:54
  - I think Reg's point is that (NCFC) - BerlinCanary, Oct 18, 12:19:31
- Football is fixed. I'd say there is an attempt to fix 75% of Prem games (NCFC) - Brandonio, Oct 18, 11:48:21
  - Having followed a few of the Cricket scandals over the years (NCFC) - Small, Oct 18, 12:17:14
    - Hansie Cronje springs to mind. What a real 'waste' in every sense. (n/m) (NCFC) - DrDublin, Oct 18, 16:53:32
    - The problem with that (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 13:04:02
    - I wonder if that relates to spread betting markets (NCFC) - pants, Oct 18, 12:48:03
- Totally agree with you. (n/m) (NCFC) - Arganth, Oct 18, 11:03:46
- Good read that, probably how it will be investigate too (NCFC) - pants, Oct 18, 10:51:39
- From the Times (NCFC) - BerlinCanary, Oct 18, 09:27:52
  - To simplify that to agree somewhat. If you went to York races (NCFC) - pants, Oct 18, 11:04:40
    - Are you sure? (NCFC) - BerlinCanary, Oct 18, 11:19:16
      - I think the bookies in shops stand the prices and markets (NCFC) - pants, Oct 18, 12:37:31
        
        Himmers is right...... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Oct 18, 13:32:41
- ... (NCFC) - Johnny Comecardiff, Oct 18, 08:55:36
  - I don't understand. Link? (n/m) (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 08:57:30
    - don't bother (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Oct 18, 09:22:43
      - Well it would be (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 09:58:45
        
        i'm not sure that he would have scored anyway (n/m) (NCFC) - conker, Oct 18, 10:08:07
        
        I'm not sure that Carroll could do all these calculations this quickly anyway (n/m) (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Oct 18, 10:08:52
        
        (meaning that I still have no idea whether there was anything dodgy (NCFC) - Tricky Hawes, Oct 18, 10:09:51
- English second tier games IN PROGRESS (n/m) (NCFC) - Reg Presley, Oct 18, 08:48:38

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.