Except conker's not saying he was watching the asian markets

As I understand it his job is to provide match stats that eventually end up with bookies in Asia: corners, shots, free kicks, bookings, etc. All he's said is that the HT stats indicate that we were playing better and therefore more likely to score (although we all know "playing better" and "therefore more likely to score" are not necessarily connected with NCFC). Thus, it seems reasonable that despite being 1 down that the odds might shorten on us.

Pure speculation now; but behaviour of any market often looks bizarre and illogical. Most traders on a market are rarely in possession of all the data (or cannot interpret it); but will blindy follow the market whereever it leads, so it's not much of a leap to see a market move slightly from favouring Derby to Norwich by those who've seen real match stats and others picking up on it; rumours start circulating and a full on swing occurs rapidly. Or maybe there was one huge bet that was enough to move the market the other way (just how big is the market in a Derby v Norwich game?).

SCC's right about one thing - it'll be near impossible to prove (certainly way beyond the capabilities of the incompetents at the FA) and I'll wager (hoho) that we'll here little more about it

Posted By: BerlinCanary on October 16th 2008 at 21:51:50


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