obviously yes, I agree

But at this stage, just over half way through a season, when a couple of victories, losses or injuries are round every corner, to say that a few points here or there make very significant differences to the likely outcome in fact, is fanciful. That's why managers don't think one week, half way through the season, that they're almost bound to be promoted, and the next, 2 games later, that they stand much less chance.

Posted By: paulg on February 18th 2021 at 13:37:43

Message Thread

Updated % chance of winning the championship (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 10:19:01
- So the numbers have changed significantly in the last week? (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 12:20:57
  - It makes perfect sense. (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 12:34:33
    - Except a lot has happened in the mean time (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 12:59:37
    - That was meant as response to below (n/m) (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 12:35:25
  - Your first sentence makes zero sense (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 12:29:00
    - Haha, it's like saying betting odds don't change when a team (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 18, 12:51:02
      - No it's not (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 13:11:04
        
        That's a different situation (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 18, 13:17:48
        
        Do Man City have a better chance now they're 10 points clear (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 18, 13:18:46
        
        obviously yes, I agree (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 13:37:43
        
        You are so weird (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 14:06:06
        
        Of course more points make some difference (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 14:29:56
        
        You have a very weird take on all this (NCFC) - jamesward, Feb 18, 14:57:57
        
        perfectly true, yes (n/m) (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 15:10:45
        
        Mathematical precision? (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 14:42:34
        
        🤦‍♂️ (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 15:02:16
        
        "47%" ....? Go back to counting beans. (n/m) (NCFC) - paulg, Feb 18, 14:50:15
        
        Why are you comparing a situation (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 13:14:35
        
        A 6 point difference between us and Brentford (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 13:18:40
      - Exactly (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 13:02:58
- Is this the same super computer that last week said.. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 18, 10:30:47
  - It isn’t no (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 10:32:01
    - Someone posted it last week.... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 18, 10:54:24
      - Ah (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Feb 18, 12:29:31
    - Let's play global thermonuclear war. (n/m) (NCFC) - DrDublin, Feb 18, 10:38:14

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