Ah yes. that paper

For anyone interested. What it does is look at what relationship there is between, on the one hand, the growth of covid (in the spring of last year), and on the other, things like lockdowns.

What they find is an apparent 'positive' impact of lockdowns on coviud growth.

but .... there is a very good reason for that. Lockdowns are imposed *in response to* higher growth of covid. So of course there's a positive relationship between growth rate and lockdowns.

They actually admit this in the paper - they say that as long as lockdowns aren't just randomly brought in - which of course they're not - then their results are biased.

In economics that paper would never even have been published. God knows why it was in that field.

Posted By: Tricky Hawes on January 14th 2021 at 15:29:57

Message Thread

Cor, just seen how many coronavirus cases there are in Norwich at the moment (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 13:57:48
- 14 cases last week in my neck of the woods 162/100,000 (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 14:25:18
  - Dirty southerners! (n/m) (Coronavirus) - JD3, Jan 14, 14:28:25
    - east anglian btw (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 14:33:45
    - cases on the wane though so getting cleaner (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 14:32:11
- I've been doing that since March. (Coronavirus) - Garry Brooke, Jan 14, 14:08:29
  - I had to take the car up to Rackheath early this week to have some work done on it (Coronavirus) - Brom, Jan 14, 14:29:43
    - That's a shame. (Coronavirus) - Garry Brooke, Jan 14, 14:39:30
      - Mildly controversial but (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 14:52:30
        
        Fucking hell now compare Sweden with their neighbours (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:32:19
        
        .................. (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 16:46:53
        
        And had we adopted the same strategy as Sweden (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:15:11
        
        Calm down dear.😘 (n/m) (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 14, 17:30:50
        
        Always calm (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:46:13
        
        Here you go (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:45:58
        
        Also interesting how Sweden have never locked down (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:41:54
        
        have they kept IKEA open? (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 16:56:53
        
        It's a complicated topic. But (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 14:56:58
        
        ahem - damn enter key... (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 14:57:15
        
        ....a mistake to make is to compare across countries (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 14:59:23
        
        Also lockdowns in these places (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:36:47
        
        Thanks (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 15:15:25
        
        Here’s a peer review (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:48:10
        
        More (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:49:14
        
        Full Fact has done a bit on this, puts both sides and concludes (Coronavirus) - jamesward, Jan 14, 15:35:25
        
        Cheers for that (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 21:01:19
        
        lockdowns must have an impact on transmision (Coronavirus) - paulg, Jan 14, 16:44:50
        
        Would you have locked down as we have done recently (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:51:31
        
        it's makes more sense currently (Coronavirus) - paulg, Jan 14, 16:58:11
        
        Well I do t want to end up in intensive care thanks (Coronavirus) - jamesward, Jan 14, 17:10:01
        
        Especially conasidering no one yet knows what long-term effects covid will have (Coronavirus) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 14, 20:33:44
        
        But oh the other hand I want to go to the pub (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:22:51
        
        So without the light at the end of the tunnel (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:06:33
        
        The NHS is only just holding up atm (Coronavirus) - jamesward, Jan 14, 17:11:15
        
        Yeah I’m not sure how people can still ignore this (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:44:48
        
        That is from the same stable as the Great Barrington Declaration (Coronavirus) - watfordcanary, Jan 14, 15:32:24
        
        Those cunts have had to move on to vax strategies now (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:43:15
        
        Ah yes. that paper (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 15:29:57
        
        Thanks (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 21:01:52

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