....a mistake to make is to compare across countries

which are in very different starting positions and very different environments.

What we do know is that *in each country* you can see that lockdowns have very clear effects. They slow down transmission (and so, with a lag, hospitalisations and deaths).

Other factors - eg track and trace systems, behaviour, border controls - have big effects and therefore explain a lot of x-country variance.

Posted By: Tricky Hawes on January 14th 2021 at 14:59:23

Message Thread

Cor, just seen how many coronavirus cases there are in Norwich at the moment (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 13:57:48
- 14 cases last week in my neck of the woods 162/100,000 (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 14:25:18
  - Dirty southerners! (n/m) (Coronavirus) - JD3, Jan 14, 14:28:25
    - east anglian btw (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 14:33:45
    - cases on the wane though so getting cleaner (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 14:32:11
- I've been doing that since March. (Coronavirus) - Garry Brooke, Jan 14, 14:08:29
  - I had to take the car up to Rackheath early this week to have some work done on it (Coronavirus) - Brom, Jan 14, 14:29:43
    - That's a shame. (Coronavirus) - Garry Brooke, Jan 14, 14:39:30
      - Mildly controversial but (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 14:52:30
        
        Fucking hell now compare Sweden with their neighbours (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:32:19
        
        .................. (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 16:46:53
        
        And had we adopted the same strategy as Sweden (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:15:11
        
        Calm down dear.😘 (n/m) (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 14, 17:30:50
        
        Always calm (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:46:13
        
        Here you go (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:45:58
        
        Also interesting how Sweden have never locked down (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:41:54
        
        have they kept IKEA open? (Coronavirus) - Tombs, Jan 14, 16:56:53
        
        It's a complicated topic. But (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 14:56:58
        
        ahem - damn enter key... (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 14:57:15
        
        ....a mistake to make is to compare across countries (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 14:59:23
        
        Also lockdowns in these places (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:36:47
        
        Thanks (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 15:15:25
        
        Here’s a peer review (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:48:10
        
        More (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:49:14
        
        Full Fact has done a bit on this, puts both sides and concludes (Coronavirus) - jamesward, Jan 14, 15:35:25
        
        Cheers for that (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 21:01:19
        
        lockdowns must have an impact on transmision (Coronavirus) - paulg, Jan 14, 16:44:50
        
        Would you have locked down as we have done recently (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:51:31
        
        it's makes more sense currently (Coronavirus) - paulg, Jan 14, 16:58:11
        
        Well I do t want to end up in intensive care thanks (Coronavirus) - jamesward, Jan 14, 17:10:01
        
        Especially conasidering no one yet knows what long-term effects covid will have (Coronavirus) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 14, 20:33:44
        
        But oh the other hand I want to go to the pub (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:22:51
        
        So without the light at the end of the tunnel (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:06:33
        
        The NHS is only just holding up atm (Coronavirus) - jamesward, Jan 14, 17:11:15
        
        Yeah I’m not sure how people can still ignore this (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 17:44:48
        
        That is from the same stable as the Great Barrington Declaration (Coronavirus) - watfordcanary, Jan 14, 15:32:24
        
        Those cunts have had to move on to vax strategies now (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 14, 16:43:15
        
        Ah yes. that paper (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 14, 15:29:57
        
        Thanks (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Jan 14, 21:01:52

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.