The weekly growth rate may still be slightly biased downwards

because the week it's being compared to (31 Dec - 6 January) probably still contains some of the 'Christmas backlog'. So was artificially a bit too high. And therefore the weekly growth rate is artificially a bit too low.

But still - there clearly are signs of stabilisation / downturn. Especially in London & the SE. (And even some very, very early signs that the crazy growth rates in Liverpool may have plateaued.)

Posted By: Tricky Hawes on January 13th 2021 at 16:23:17

Message Thread

latest Covid figures ... people tested positive (General Chat) - ghostof barry butler, Jan 13, 16:18:38
- Percentage of tests returning positive peaked at the end of last week (General Chat) - Basil Wrathbone, Jan 13, 18:27:14
  - Basically until the vaccine starts taking effect isn’t it? (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 18:28:23
    - That's what it looks like, though I'd sure it will also tail off as we get to early summer (n/m) (General Chat) - Basil Wrathbone, Jan 13, 19:17:05
- No. Looks like clear decline in cases per day (General Chat) - Timmy_Goat, Jan 13, 17:20:59
- The weekly growth rate may still be slightly biased downwards (General Chat) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 13, 16:23:17
  - so its a maybe (n/m) (General Chat) - ghostof barry butler, Jan 13, 16:25:29
    - No, I think it's more than a maybe (General Chat) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 13, 16:29:11
      - good ... every journey starts with a single step (General Chat) - ghostof barry butler, Jan 13, 16:34:46
        
        Yup. Even is London it looks like a stabilisation rather than big falls (General Chat) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 13, 16:38:28
- Sadly we've just done another world beating record on deaths. (n/m) (General Chat) - DrDublin, Jan 13, 16:20:35
  - I have a feeling the pesky French might take the crown ultimately (n/m) (General Chat) - paulg, Jan 13, 17:47:13
    - Belgium miles ahead in "deaths per 100k" in Europe, I think (n/m) (General Chat) - Old Git, Jan 13, 17:53:39
      - Unfortunately, many Eastern European countries are rapidly catching up (General Chat) - Timmy_Goat, Jan 13, 18:42:02
      - Europe generally going to come a bit of a cropper (General Chat) - paulg, Jan 13, 18:03:58
        
        The EU has ordered 2.3 billion vaccine doses however (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 18:18:38
        
        They'll get there - but slowly (General Chat) - paulg, Jan 13, 19:37:42
  - And passed 100,000 covid deaths (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 16:44:11
  - Not world-beating, US had more than 4,000 yesterday (General Chat) - jamesward, Jan 13, 16:27:01
    - Their population is 5x as large as ours though (General Chat) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 13, 16:30:26
      - If we are doing that stat, then Belgium have had worse days (General Chat) - earlydoors, Jan 13, 17:18:20
      - Are the statistics gathered in an identical way? (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Jan 13, 17:01:15
        
        28 day tests are only for the daily dashboard (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 17:05:16
        
        That's what I think too (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Jan 13, 17:07:17
      - but the population density in the us is not the same as the uk (General Chat) - Tombs, Jan 13, 16:35:48
        
        It’s good to compare outcomes (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 16:38:28
        
        if only there was an overarching global health organisation set up to do that job (General Chat) - Tombs, Jan 13, 17:59:24
        
        We don’t really take much notice of them (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 18:05:15
        
        Unbelievable from the WHO then,asleep at the wheel. (n/m) (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 13, 18:02:23
        
        Well we’ve ignored most of their advice anyway 🤷‍♂️ (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 18:05:52
        
        if we ever do find a 'best' way (General Chat) - CWC, Jan 13, 17:06:45
        
        At least the vaccine will make it far easier now (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 17:08:05
        
        Didn't you get the memo? It replaced the Olympics (n/m) (General Chat) - Ben, Jan 13, 16:37:47
        
        It's only when we're having the most deaths,let's be honest. (n/m) (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 13, 16:37:45
        
        We're only allowed to talk about giving the most vaccines (General Chat) - jamesward, Jan 13, 16:44:40
        
        Israel vaccinated over 20% of the population (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 16:50:01
        
        Strangely it's a little like the plot in world war z.😯😲😥 (n/m) (General Chat) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 13, 17:07:59
        
        20% of the population is about 1.8m isn't it? (General Chat) - SimonOTBC, Jan 13, 17:04:40
        
        Yeah the first case study of mass vaccination (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 18:24:40
        
        when you say good results do you mean (General Chat) - ghostof barry butler, Jan 13, 16:53:30
        
        Yes reduced infections (General Chat) - SCC 28, Jan 13, 18:23:43
      - Fair point (General Chat) - jamesward, Jan 13, 16:32:41
  - Just a glitch in the Dubz matrix there. I have abided by the political rules here mostly. (n/m) (General Chat) - DrDublin, Jan 13, 16:21:41

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.