Really? I reckon it will be close.

205 safe Republican votes, 230 safe Democrat votes, 6 swing states.

Florida (28 electoral college votes) polls put Biden +1.8%. Pennsylvania (20) Biden +2.6%. Michigan (16) Biden +5.1%. Wisconsin (10) Biden +6.7%. North Carolina (15) Trump + 0.2% Arizona (11) Biden +0.9%.

If polls underpredict Trump support by 2.6 percent then he wins Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Arizona picking up 205 safe + 28 Florida + 20 Penn +15 North Carolina + 11 Arizona = 279 and Victory. Lose any one of those 4 to Biden and it's a loss.

What do I know though... Very much hope Biden wins but dont really rate him and hope he wins then steps down and lets Kamala Harris lead.

Posted By: Timmy_Goat on November 3rd 2020 at 21:55:02

Message Thread

Turning to matters in hand... come on sleepy joe (n/m) (General Chat) - paddonwasjesus, Nov 3, 21:38:45
- I'm not usual one for conspiratorial thoughts, but... (General Chat) - Basil Wrathbone, Nov 3, 22:19:36
  - World War III ? (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:20:06
- Joe who is sick of wealthy billionaires ripping off poor people. Yep he's my man thanks! (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:06:12
  - Bear in mind that US politics is so far to the right.... (General Chat) - Timmy_Goat, Nov 3, 22:13:22
- in the prime of his life (General Chat) - earthleakage, Nov 3, 21:57:40
  - Almost fell off my seat (n/m) (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:16:45
  - Thought you said you were an empath? Where's your empathy for a top notch guy? (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:07:05
  - many a true word lolz (General Chat) - Tombs, Nov 3, 22:03:08
- What are we predicting? (General Chat) - SCC 28, Nov 3, 21:43:11
  - Decent people (Joe and Kamala) to beat the covid spreading idiots (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:11:25
  - 372 to Biden/Harris - the proverbial landslide (n/m) (General Chat) - Kev, Nov 3, 22:00:18
  - Really? I reckon it will be close. (General Chat) - Timmy_Goat, Nov 3, 21:55:02
    - Tend to agree with you here. In 2016 many trump voters turned out on the day (n/m) (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:19:59
      - Been a big push this time for democrats to vote, unlike last time (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:21:06
        
        By big push you mean many more millions $$$ spent on advertising than trump (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:24:42
        
        By the same billionaire donors that fund the DNC that rip off the poor (n/m) (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:26:07
        
        Biden will be raising their taxes (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:33:58
    - Joe winning and stepping down is the least likely outcome (n/m) (General Chat) - earlydoors, Nov 3, 22:07:19
      - I clearly don't mean immediately (General Chat) - Timmy_Goat, Nov 3, 22:24:05
        
        Biden corrects himself. He doesn't pretend or say it's fake news/sarcasm etc (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:35:16
        
        The interviewer was called George wasn’t he (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Nov 3, 22:27:34
        
        Which begs to question why people would vote, knowing how incoherent he has been recently (n/m) (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:25:24
      - What's the most likely? (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:08:43
    - Yes it’s likely to be closer based on what we know (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Nov 3, 21:58:07
      - First exit polls coming now (General Chat) - SCC 28, Nov 3, 21:59:53
  - landslide, though muddied with bullshit (General Chat) - Worzel Scrimmage, Nov 3, 21:46:25
    - Republicans seem to think high turnout good for them (n/m) (General Chat) - SCC 28, Nov 3, 21:49:11
      - No, Republicans rely on suppressing the vote. A high turnout is likely not in their favor (n/m) (General Chat) - NJ_Canary, Nov 3, 22:30:56
        
        With guns and claims of voter fraud lol (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Nov 3, 22:37:12
        
        Did you even look into what happened in 2016? (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:34:26
      - they would say that though given the massive increase in voters (General Chat) - Worzel Scrimmage, Nov 3, 21:50:24
- I wouldnt like to be a MAGA hat salesman. (n/m) (General Chat) - Fairstead thaumaturg, Nov 3, 21:42:27
- ben, please delete this politics post, (General Chat) - shoddy, Nov 3, 21:42:26
  - Surely elections should have an amnesty (General Chat) - SCC 28, Nov 3, 21:44:21
    - Agreed, it is election night. (n/m) (General Chat) - KetteringRyu, Nov 3, 22:18:38

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