surely, if anything, sweden would be hit less hard 2nd time?

the problem with a hard, early lockdown is that you don't establish any herd immunity at all (you may not anyway, of course) - so I would have thought the Swedes would have the potential for advantage

Posted By: paulg on April 27th 2020 at 19:23:50

Message Thread

FT has done some analysis trying to work out how each country’s death rate has increased (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Apr 27, 14:06:08
- Pretty meaningless since all countries are at different points in the cycle, which (Coronavirus) - Skeleton Bob, Apr 27, 16:24:48
- I believe this been a below average flu year, so effect of COVID may be a bit higher (n/m) (Coronavirus) - watfordcanary, Apr 27, 15:34:59
  - I read normally around 17000 deaths attributed to flu. (Coronavirus) - Men without hats, Apr 27, 16:23:13
- interesting that Italy normally have so few deaths compared to the UK (Coronavirus) - Ralf Scrampton, Apr 27, 15:18:58
  - And that's just England & Wales. Which together have a *smaller* popn than Italy. (Coronavirus) - jampersands, Apr 27, 15:21:34
    - Ah, they've spotted the problem - now updated (Coronavirus) - jampersands, Apr 27, 15:23:18
      - ah ok, assuming Italy's figures are all for the same regions that 90% figure is astonishin (Coronavirus) - Ralf Scrampton, Apr 27, 15:51:58
- Highest excess mortality in the 75-84 age group (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Trent_Canary, Apr 27, 14:37:31
- Interesting that they can;t do Germany because apparently the data (Coronavirus) - Jim, Apr 27, 14:20:47
  - Yes when I was reading that piece from the German scientist in the Grauniad (Coronavirus) - camcan, Apr 27, 14:37:03
    - Comparisons are only really interesting (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Apr 27, 14:43:52
      - voluntarily social distancing (Coronavirus) - CWC, Apr 27, 14:51:27
        
        surely, if anything, sweden would be hit less hard 2nd time? (Coronavirus) - paulg, Apr 27, 19:23:50
        
        Son in NZ was locked down on 80% really early. (Coronavirus) - Men without hats, Apr 27, 16:21:07
        
        The one that interests me (Coronavirus) - Winged Eel Creosote, Apr 27, 14:58:23
        
        I think they also went early on lockdown measures (Coronavirus) - CWC, Apr 27, 15:53:47
    - Absolutely this. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - yellowman, Apr 27, 14:43:41

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