Pretty meaningless since all countries are at different points in the cycle, which

is obvious in this graphic. User Posted Link
The fact that excess deaths in the UK compared with the 5-year average for the w/e 3rd April were around 60% up, and about 75% up for the following week shows the trend towards the Italy number.

Posted By: Skeleton Bob on April 27th 2020 at 16:24:48

Message Thread

FT has done some analysis trying to work out how each country’s death rate has increased (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Apr 27, 14:06:08
- Pretty meaningless since all countries are at different points in the cycle, which (Coronavirus) - Skeleton Bob, Apr 27, 16:24:48
- I believe this been a below average flu year, so effect of COVID may be a bit higher (n/m) (Coronavirus) - watfordcanary, Apr 27, 15:34:59
  - I read normally around 17000 deaths attributed to flu. (Coronavirus) - Men without hats, Apr 27, 16:23:13
- interesting that Italy normally have so few deaths compared to the UK (Coronavirus) - Ralf Scrampton, Apr 27, 15:18:58
  - And that's just England & Wales. Which together have a *smaller* popn than Italy. (Coronavirus) - jampersands, Apr 27, 15:21:34
    - Ah, they've spotted the problem - now updated (Coronavirus) - jampersands, Apr 27, 15:23:18
      - ah ok, assuming Italy's figures are all for the same regions that 90% figure is astonishin (Coronavirus) - Ralf Scrampton, Apr 27, 15:51:58
- Highest excess mortality in the 75-84 age group (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Trent_Canary, Apr 27, 14:37:31
- Interesting that they can;t do Germany because apparently the data (Coronavirus) - Jim, Apr 27, 14:20:47
  - Yes when I was reading that piece from the German scientist in the Grauniad (Coronavirus) - camcan, Apr 27, 14:37:03
    - Comparisons are only really interesting (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Apr 27, 14:43:52
      - voluntarily social distancing (Coronavirus) - CWC, Apr 27, 14:51:27
        
        surely, if anything, sweden would be hit less hard 2nd time? (Coronavirus) - paulg, Apr 27, 19:23:50
        
        Son in NZ was locked down on 80% really early. (Coronavirus) - Men without hats, Apr 27, 16:21:07
        
        The one that interests me (Coronavirus) - Winged Eel Creosote, Apr 27, 14:58:23
        
        I think they also went early on lockdown measures (Coronavirus) - CWC, Apr 27, 15:53:47
    - Absolutely this. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - yellowman, Apr 27, 14:43:41

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