voluntarily social distancing

Portugal & Spain is an interesting one. Portugal basically did what Spain did a couple of days afterwards, but they were a month behind the infection levels so they effectively went hard & early (ie locked down when they only had 200 odd cases instead of waiting for 2000 odd).

Lockdown not particularly strict relative to some others, but 50% of people self-imposed their own restrictions anyway (ie only going out once a day)

The great unknown is whether Sweden, Portugal, NZ etc will be hit harder later on once the virus starts circulating again. And of course what sort of hit their economies took/will take.

Posted By: CWC on April 27th 2020 at 14:51:27

Message Thread

FT has done some analysis trying to work out how each country’s death rate has increased (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Apr 27, 14:06:08
- Pretty meaningless since all countries are at different points in the cycle, which (Coronavirus) - Skeleton Bob, Apr 27, 16:24:48
- I believe this been a below average flu year, so effect of COVID may be a bit higher (n/m) (Coronavirus) - watfordcanary, Apr 27, 15:34:59
  - I read normally around 17000 deaths attributed to flu. (Coronavirus) - Men without hats, Apr 27, 16:23:13
- interesting that Italy normally have so few deaths compared to the UK (Coronavirus) - Ralf Scrampton, Apr 27, 15:18:58
  - And that's just England & Wales. Which together have a *smaller* popn than Italy. (Coronavirus) - jampersands, Apr 27, 15:21:34
    - Ah, they've spotted the problem - now updated (Coronavirus) - jampersands, Apr 27, 15:23:18
      - ah ok, assuming Italy's figures are all for the same regions that 90% figure is astonishin (Coronavirus) - Ralf Scrampton, Apr 27, 15:51:58
- Highest excess mortality in the 75-84 age group (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Trent_Canary, Apr 27, 14:37:31
- Interesting that they can;t do Germany because apparently the data (Coronavirus) - Jim, Apr 27, 14:20:47
  - Yes when I was reading that piece from the German scientist in the Grauniad (Coronavirus) - camcan, Apr 27, 14:37:03
    - Comparisons are only really interesting (Coronavirus) - Old Git, Apr 27, 14:43:52
      - voluntarily social distancing (Coronavirus) - CWC, Apr 27, 14:51:27
        
        surely, if anything, sweden would be hit less hard 2nd time? (Coronavirus) - paulg, Apr 27, 19:23:50
        
        Son in NZ was locked down on 80% really early. (Coronavirus) - Men without hats, Apr 27, 16:21:07
        
        The one that interests me (Coronavirus) - Winged Eel Creosote, Apr 27, 14:58:23
        
        I think they also went early on lockdown measures (Coronavirus) - CWC, Apr 27, 15:53:47
    - Absolutely this. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - yellowman, Apr 27, 14:43:41

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