Again, if you wish to bring this debate up at least have the deceny

to respect others that hold different positions to you without insulting their intelligence.

In answer to your above hypothetical. Ultimately parliament were presented a deal after the courts ruled that parliament must have the final say.

It was rejected 3 times, the main issue being the backstop. But also a clause that prevented the UK from adjusting tariffs during the transition period.

The only option was to go back to negotiate with the EU which a motion passed that the backstop must be removed (as far as i can remember).

Johnson has gone back to the EU to explain that the WA will have support from parliament as long as the backstop is removed. However the EU were unwilling to re-open the agreement and did not feel they needed to since parliament will not accept a no deal. Therefore there is no mandate to give a better deal to us as there is no threat to them.

Johnson has now put a play in motion which is entirely constitutional (regardless of what hammond, bercrow or any other MP says). In order to ensure that we leave on the 31st october, deal or no deal.

However MP's will still have time to attempt to force the prime minister to extend A50. This can only be done for good reason "says the EU". I.e a G.E or a referendum neither of which will be accepted in parliament ultimately meaning that A50 will not be extended.

The other play the opposition can make is a vote of no confidence however this is a one shot opportunity and if the votes are not there and it fails then it is back to default.

Ultimately the ball is back in the EU's court unless parliament decides that there is support for the WA with backstop.

By proroguing and reopening parliament sessions this allows previous votes to be asked again even if the format has not changed.

Therefore come the reopening of parliament the options on the table will be.

- A revised deal from the EU without backstop
- The same deal
- Revoke A50
- Leave no deal (the default)

Due to the numbers, revised deal without backstop will pass. The same deal may or may not pass ( depends on desperation of labour voters). Revoke A50 will fail. Leave no deal default.

It's a pretty decent negotiating position for Johnson

Posted By: KetteringRyu on August 29th 2019 at 15:49:17

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