Of the last 15 Championship teams to have 40 points after 20 games, 14 have been promoted.

11 automatically and three via the play-offs.

With 75 points usually par for 6th, we'd have to average fewer than 1.3 points a game in our remaining fixtures to miss out.

Across a season that's the form of a team finishing 12th to 14th. Or, in other words, us last season.

Give how tough it is to finish top two and the relative strength/spending power of other clubs (Boro, West Brom, Derby etc), play-offs looks about right.

But automatic promotion absolutely more likely than 7th or below, by some distance.

Posted By: norway on December 4th 2018 at 11:14:27

Message Thread

Great Expectations (or not?) (NCFC) - Azteca, Dec 4, 10:17:21
- league winners (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Dec 4, 15:14:36
- I didn't expect this at all (NCFC) - Jester, Dec 4, 12:11:19
- For all the stuff about others "strengthening" for the run-in - two words... (NCFC) - Greeny, Dec 4, 11:47:30
  - There are a few premier league youngsters doing really well in the Championship (NCFC) - strap_on sally, Dec 4, 13:22:22
    - yeah, I'd think a fresh face or two might be helpful to push the first team (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Dec 4, 16:18:01
- Oliver Twist for me (NCFC) - Old Git, Dec 4, 11:25:10
- 7th or below - incredibly disappointing (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 4, 11:15:38
- Of the last 15 Championship teams to have 40 points after 20 games, 14 have been promoted. (NCFC) - norway, Dec 4, 11:14:27
- If we come through a brutal run of fixtures dec 26-feb... (NCFC) - loz, Dec 4, 11:03:13
  - A loan striker would make sense (NCFC) - norway, Dec 4, 11:16:08
    - Might need a tweak here and there ... (NCFC) - loz, Dec 4, 11:25:19
- I think we have momentum and from here would be disappointed if we (NCFC) - Jim, Dec 4, 10:48:02
  - Villa are a threat, but if we keep going at two points per game it’s job donr (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Dec 4, 13:45:57
  - I think Villa are a big threat and (NCFC) - strap_on sally, Dec 4, 13:18:28
- Once we clicked early in our run (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 4, 10:40:39
- Start of the season I said top half par, top ten great, anything more fantastic (NCFC) - Old Man, Dec 4, 10:26:02
  - The playoffs aren’t a lottery at all (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 4, 10:42:10
- I think it's Leeds' year to win it (NCFC) - CauldRon, Dec 4, 10:19:00

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