What was the other major surprise result then?

You don't remotely look at the big picture do you? You just fluctuate wildly based on the most recent results. I didn't become wildly optimistic after the Villa and Saints winsbecause they were nice fixtures I was already figuring in that we had a good chance of winning, and a glance at the remaining fixtures suggested there weren't too many of those left. The last three games were all ones I thought we weren't likely to get much of anything from so losing them made little difference to my overall outlook. You just look at current points per game like a simplistic idiot.
I still think we'll get about 38 points or thereabouts (have done all season) but I have no idea whether that will be enough. So I think 50:50 is pretty reasonable (you had us at 36% yesterday so presumably you're now getting a lot closer to my figure, demonstrating that it was pretty reasonable all along)

Posted By: mr carra on January 24th 2016 at 15:45:36

Message Thread

We are in a pickle now (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:25:39
- I just can't see survival,Newcastle are stronger. (NCFC) - CROYDONCANARY, Jan 24, 15:33:25
  - Of course we can survive (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:35:56
    - The season is 38 games long. One weekend changes very little imo (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:38:25
      - if anyone thinks we can stay with the shit defence we have is deluded (NCFC) - yellows2011, Jan 24, 15:45:54
        
        Your desperate attempts to worry proper Norwich fans is quite worrying tbh (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:48:52
      - Yes but it's still harder now (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:42:48
        
        Weren't we favourites to go down before the season started? (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:47:43
        
        No Watford were not that that is relevant (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:54:32
- don't worry it's only football (n/m) (NCFC) - Tombs, Jan 24, 15:28:24
  - Yeah nothing to weep about (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:28:58
- I just can't see Newcastle and Sunderland going down. (n/m) (NCFC) - Men without hats, Jan 24, 15:28:07
- We were already (n/m) (NCFC) - Dandy Highburyman, Jan 24, 15:26:01
  - all of our own making (n/m) (NCFC) - colincanary, Jan 24, 15:27:54
  - Ok a bigger pickle (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:27:50
    - Its not a cactus yet..... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 24, 15:38:59
    - Only about 9 days ago you said we were in great shape (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 15:31:35
      - ROLF you really are quite simple (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:34:45
        
        What was the other major surprise result then? (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 15:45:36
        
        Wow you're actually serious (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:48:21
        
        No I don't (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 15:56:32
        
        I think you read far too much into it (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 16:00:19
        
        What are they then? (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 16:08:10
        
        Eh everyone knows they are what the market thinks! (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 16:11:10
        
        Why are you so sarcastic? Is that what you do when you're unable to use adult logic to (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 16:01:56
        
        He likes to do that. It's just his thing. On a constant wind up. (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:59:42
        
        Yeah discussing markets is a wind up lol (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 16:01:43
        
        Oh, it's betting 'markets' rather than betting 'odds' (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 16:11:25
        
        I think you need to chill out a bit tbh (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 16:13:09
        
        More childish accusations. You're just making yourself look rather silly now tbf (n/m) (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 16:02:48
        
        Please stop replying to me now (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 16:04:48
        
        The table 9 days ago (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:40:17
        
        You expect the table to fucking change during the season (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 15:52:50
        
        Yes and the big picture is it has got a bit harder for us (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:55:41
        
        A bit yes I agree (NCFC) - mr carra, Jan 24, 15:58:37
        
        He loves to swing. It's how the drama triangle/Eric Berne's transaction analysis Games (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 16:00:26
        
        A very simple concept to grasp yes. Tables and positions fluctuate throughout the season (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:54:20
        
        38 games. 15 left! Lots can happen, not all dependent on our current league position (n/m) (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:42:40
        
        Yes lots can happen thanks for that (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:46:03
        
        You just try to exaggerate things when we have a bad weekend. We also have good ones too (n/m) (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 15:50:22
        
        Saying it has got harder for us isn't exaggerating (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 15:56:36
        
        Every game we drop 3 points is essentially making things harder for us (NCFC) - essexcanaryOTBC, Jan 24, 16:00:56
        
        Oh God more strawman arguments (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 24, 16:04:20
    - So more gherkin than onion (n/m) (NCFC) - Dandy Highburyman, Jan 24, 15:30:38

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