How is a % probability meaningless?

If you have 50 red balls and 50 black balls in a bag

You get one point for every red ball you pick out and 0 points for every black ball it should be obvious that you get 0.5 points per pick

(assuming 100 balls and a totally random pick i e 50/50)

Posted By: usacanary on February 6th 2012 at 00:08:19

Message Thread

USACanary - Can you explain something please (NCFC) - 51eve, Feb 5, 23:45:02
- OK, simple explanation that "most" people can understand. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 6, 00:02:53
  - Thanks for that (NCFC) - 51eve, Feb 6, 00:07:21
- ive got a Q about that as well (NCFC) - Only1Doherty, Feb 5, 23:48:49
  - No, that would be way off. There is no way....... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 6, 00:04:53
- Most likely points gain on average. Add all the fractions up and it makes more sense. (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 5, 23:46:17
  - Predicting games using 3 , 1 or 0 points is just silly. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 6, 00:09:43
  - It's a meanlingless statistic though, right? (NCFC) - 51eve, Feb 5, 23:49:04
    - How is a % probability meaningless? (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 6, 00:08:19
      - Until after the first ball is picked, when quite clearly the odds will shift, (NCFC) - tudders, Feb 6, 03:18:10
      - Are the two comparable? (NCFC) - 51eve, Feb 6, 00:14:45
        
        you cant pick a 0.5 point ball from the bag either....... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 6, 00:16:09
        
        simple explanation. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 6, 00:19:11
        
        clearly not (NCFC) - 51eve, Feb 6, 00:45:45

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