Fucked if I know.........I do know this........

the bookmakers odds think we have a good chance either automatically or in the play offs

User Posted Link

They base their "predictions" on a lot of the stuff I am using.

Are they always right....... Obviously no

Are they right more than they are wrong given the juice they charge......... Yes, obviously thats why they stay in business and make a ton of money.

When you make a prediction about 12 teams it doesnt mean you will get all 12 exaactly correct, its about being right "on average"

Bookmakers make a ton of money by offering lines that favor them more often on average than the public.

Posted By: usacanary on April 7th 2011 at 18:27:50

Message Thread

I had some questions about the following post I made in February (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 17:54:45
- All I want to know is "are we going up in an automatic place?" (Other Football) - South_West_Canary, Apr 7, 18:20:02
  - Fucked if I know.........I do know this........ (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:27:50
    - My gut insticts regarding NCFC are usually spot on. And they say we're going up (n/m) (Other Football) - South_West_Canary, Apr 7, 18:31:53
      - Obviously, I hope you are right. (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:46:41
- Isn't the whole point that predictions based on past form aren't very good? (Other Football) - Cart Gap Disco, Apr 7, 18:13:38
  - FWIW..... the above is also incorrect. (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 20:07:36
  - Your post is inaccurate. (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:18:14
    - Quibble (Other Football) - Cart Gap Disco, Apr 7, 18:23:27
      - Oh..... so I didnt say that then. (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:30:38
        
        OK you win - you were very wrong rather than completely wrong (Other Football) - Cart Gap Disco, Apr 7, 18:37:40
        
        You are making yourself look silly now. (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:43:57
        
        Deft change of point... (Other Football) - Cart Gap Disco, Apr 7, 19:05:24
        
        I love the way you totally ignore facts............ (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 19:13:15
        
        This is the part of hater tilting I dont get.......... (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:51:30
        
        I'm not a hater tilter (Other Football) - Cart Gap Disco, Apr 7, 19:11:07
        
        If it was truely a serious discussion............. (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 19:17:53
        
        But what are you predicting? (Other Football) - Cart Gap Disco, Apr 7, 19:33:12
        
        You arnt very good at reading are you? (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 19:55:58
        
        On this sort of stuff you are fairly strong and I think it's harsh that people are picking (Other Football) - Brandonio, Apr 7, 19:29:49
        
        I only get tilted by stupid people.............. (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 20:12:11
- Nice one (n/m) (Other Football) - duke of york, Apr 7, 18:04:26
  - ^^^ first (n/m) (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:06:33
- Changing the subject a min... (Other Football) - NiftyFiftyCity, Apr 7, 18:03:31
  - No. Why would he? (Other Football) - usacanary, Apr 7, 18:11:29
    - He replies to other people (Other Football) - NiftyFiftyCity, Apr 7, 20:33:27

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