Hedging my bets??? ......... Its not an exact science.........

Its a rough prediction..........based on curent seasonal form....... totally free of bias, it is what it is.........

I could give you an exact number.....as in.......

(a) Playoffs 83 points (+/- 2 points)

But its the same thing..........

FWIW this is much lower than normal, which is why its relevent this year.

here are previous 2nd places

2001 89
2002 92
2003 86
2004 87
2005 90
2006 86
2007 79
2008 83
2009 91
2010 ??

average is around 87 points

Only 83 or less twice in 9 seasons.

Having looked at all the factors I actually think it will take just 82 points (my biased opinion)........ but 85 points will almost certainly be enough.

Posted By: usacanary on February 22nd 2011 at 23:25:52

Message Thread

updated final predictions based on current seasonal form (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 22:05:25
- Soooo (NCFC) - jayson blair, Feb 22, 22:23:28
  - I know I am an uneducated oik but......... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:04:00
    - as you ask (NCFC) - jayson blair, Feb 22, 23:16:18
      - I have to give you credit....... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:29:51
        
        to answer your 2nd question........ (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:37:16
- What does 'seasonal' form show? Surely that's verging on an oxymoron? (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 22:09:09
  - well........... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 22:17:45
    - but, it's just the league table? There is no difference? (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 22:20:25
      - You are totally missing the point........... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 22:31:29
        
        Points per game is totally relevant. I agree... that's why we have a league table? (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 22:34:43
        
        "we will allstay in the same places" (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 22:55:39
        
        Fair enough. I kind of see where you are coming from (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 23:04:38
        
        Hedging my bets??? ......... Its not an exact science......... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:25:52
        
        hypothetically, i'd like to know what the seasonal form was 14 games out (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 23:29:50
        
        I did it.......thats why the 2007/8 season is relevent (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:44:44
        
        lol, fair play to you. (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 23:49:27
        
        here 2007/8..........14 games out...... compare with current table (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:52:42
        
        Blimey, Watfords loss of form was catastrophic (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 23, 00:01:28
        
        here is 13 games out which is roughly where most teams are. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:55:54
        
        recent form (NCFC) - jayson blair, Feb 22, 23:22:46
        
        errrr......are you really this thick?............ (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 23:49:38
        
        sad sad man (NCFC) - jayson blair, Feb 23, 00:05:57
        
        roflcopter (NCFC) - Brandonio, Feb 22, 22:38:23
        
        lmao (n/m) (NCFC) - NiftyFiftyCity, Feb 22, 22:35:58
        
        lol (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Feb 22, 22:35:05
  - cue (NCFC) - Brandonio, Feb 22, 22:09:45
    - cue mass tilt-age..... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 22:11:41
      - not really. I'm genuinely interested in why you think it is relevant? (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 22:12:58
        
        see above......... there is a correlation......... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 22, 22:18:48
- It changes after every bloody game! (NCFC) - NiftyFiftyCity, Feb 22, 22:08:55
- WHO GIVES A FLYING FUCK? (NCFC) - Charles21, Feb 22, 22:08:06
  - No one, if anyone did, someone would set up a couple of leagues on here for a bit of fun (n/m) (NCFC) - pants, Feb 22, 22:12:05
    - eh? (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 22, 22:14:42
    - I meant that 2nd is still up for grabs (n/m) (NCFC) - Charles21, Feb 22, 22:13:34
- What is it with you and this shit?! (n/m) (NCFC) - Wiltshire Yellow, Feb 22, 22:06:13

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.