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"Sudden shifts of half a goal in Asian Handicap matches are not unprecedented, but they are unlikely. However, it was pointed out that normally six Asian bookmakers would have been covering the match rather than two, so the market would have been weaker and more prone to swings based on a few large bets. It is understood that betting of about ?100,000 in such a market could have swung the odds so heavily towards Norwich"
I assume that all comes from their "Betting industry insiders" sources (probably unknown posters on internet message boards...) Nowhere do they estimate the total size of the market or quote what's usual. Note that such swings are "not unprecedented"...
The more I think about it, the more I can't help feeling that it's simply that: somebody making a large (whatever that means) speculative punt that moved the market enough.
Posted By: BerlinCanary, Oct 18, 09:27:52
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