Interesting take on the betting markets I heard yesterday

Betting markets consistently have Trump ahead. But who uses these markets - techbros almost exclusively. A segment of the population that is very very pro Trump. Hence, good reason to believe the betting markets are calling it pretty wrong. This doesn't mean Harris will win - it probably is 50:50 like most polls say. But you can take a 60:40 bet on a 50:50 event, and this means if you have the balls, there is a lot of excess unpriced return available on a risk adjusted basis.

Posted By: Under soil heating, Nov 5, 08:53:14