But...

From 2009 to 2013 the combined UKIP/BNP/Con share of the vote went up by 2.1%.
The combined Lab/LD/G/PC/SNP vote went up by 2.3%
and
The combined Con/LD/Lab vote went down 1%.
So the very small parties were squeezed.

The rise in UKIP support is almost entirely explained by the fall in the Tory vote and the complete collapse of the BNP/ English Nationalist vote and its migration to UKIP.

At 2009 EU election UKIP/BNP/ED polled 25%. In 2010 they polled 5.2% At the 2014 EU election they polled 28.5%. Given that the Tory vote dropped by 4% on Thursday as the normal protest against a party in government I reckon it would take a huge propaganda effort by the BBC etc to get the far right up to 8%. And even if UKIP get all that 8% they'll still win nothing.

Blip IMO.

Posted By: Winged Eel Creosote, May 27, 07:06:56