the end is nigh

there is a little chat of the us trying to convince ukr to back down on it's stance on not negotiating peace with russia. at the moment it's pretty much a stalemate strategically wise but russian rate of attrition has tripled since putin issued the mobilasation order. prior to this at the beginning of the "special military operation" russian troop losses were around 600-800 a day (200 dead the rest casevacs). as the fighting shifted to donestk region and ukr started counter-offensive ops this number increased to 1500 a day with 400 dead a day on avaerage. as the mobilised people (can't call them troops) arrived this number has increased to a staggering 3000 a day with an average of 800-000 dead per day. this is pure insanity and all the time the ukr forces are getting better and better equipment and support/training.

russia can of course keep sending people into the meat grinder and keep this up for years, it has a track record of stupidity. in the meantime it has formed up two armies of around 100,000 mobiks in both belgorod/kursk and belarus, the former in reserve in case ukr gets the notion to advance into russia or possibly to have another crack at kharkiv (they never learn, if so it will be a massacre) and the latter, from satelite imagery and mobile phone intercepts point a picture that is saying that they are going to try a new attack on Kyiv.

the trade off likely be us brokered peace between the two and ukr will likely have to cede some land and biden will be seen as having won a proxy war against putin/russia and gas and oil prices will stabilise and come down eventually and the global economy will settle. perhaps. understandably zelensky might think otherwise.

Posted By: Tombs on November 7th 2022 at 11:16:12

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