Serious question. Do you understand how standard deviations work?
Let me cut and paste word for word. It will save you from misquoting me out of context.
------------------------------------------------
I just have no idea.
This team might have one of the highest standard deviations ever.
Everything from 9th to 20th
I'm not sure we can even judge too much after the first 4 games.
We still look to be wanting 2 or 3 more quality signings.
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You do understand how standard deviations work and the probability of extreme/unlikely events?
I thought my post was extremely clear that a 9th place finish was extremely unlikely unless you are not smart enough to understand math(s).
I know this is kind of basic but to put it in terms most people can understand. Brighton are currently 9th on 44 points, Leeds are 17th on 34 points and we are 20th on 21 points.
If the pre-season prediction is 17-18th then the 4 SD would be around 9th to 20th (9th being 0.1% , essentially zero)
Because you cant get less than 20th position it would include all point totals 0 to 29 points (with points totals 0-10 being very unlikely and mostly falling in the 0.1% region)
The good news is I became very rich from using this kind of math/logic so I have the time/freedom to f**k around on the internet instead of stealing time from an employer.
Well done me.
Posted By: usacanary on May 4th 2022 at 18:32:48
Message Thread
- How effective would a bazooka be if you only had 90% of it? (n/m) (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 13:27:16
- As effective as getting 90% close to signing our key targets Pre season (n/m) (NCFC) - ChampsChamps2023, May 4, 15:08:28
- This....... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 14:33:21
- To be fair, I've kind of got used to it all now. (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:05:02
- More made up shit........ (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 15:13:24
- As I said (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:15:54
- To be fair, what he really said was that (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, May 4, 15:40:30
- It's not arguing (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:48:37
- Taking your stupid cut and paste logic.. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 16:06:11
- Oh dear (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 16:09:01
- Totally dishonest. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 16:35:25
- I agree that no-one could know with any certainty whether we'd be relegated or not (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 16:43:59
- Serious question. Do you understand how standard deviations work? (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 18:32:48
- You still thought 9th was possible (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 4, 18:45:19
- The weird thing is (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 19:08:54
- So thats a no then...... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 20:52:00
- No, haven't done maths since the 80s to be honest. (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 21:12:29
- Yep just saves someone else posting the receipts (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 4, 19:09:39
- So thats a no then...... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 20:52:00
- Mikey, sorry to drag you away from the fryer but..... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 18:47:37
- Nothing on your fries (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 4, 19:15:10
- The first true statement you have posted. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 19:18:48
- ROFL (n/m) (NCFC) - UncleTounouse, May 4, 18:59:21
- Nothing on your fries (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 4, 19:15:10
- The weird thing is (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 19:08:54
- You still thought 9th was possible (NCFC) - SCC 28, May 4, 18:45:19
- Serious question. Do you understand how standard deviations work? (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 18:32:48
- I agree that no-one could know with any certainty whether we'd be relegated or not (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 16:43:59
- Totally dishonest. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 16:35:25
- Oh dear (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 16:09:01
- Taking your stupid cut and paste logic.. (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 16:06:11
- It's not arguing (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:48:37
- To be fair, what he really said was that (NCFC) - Legacy Fan, May 4, 15:40:30
- As I said (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:15:54
- More made up shit........ (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 15:13:24
- To be fair, I've kind of got used to it all now. (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:05:02
- And still you go on... (n/m) (NCFC) - ParrotPuncher, May 4, 13:50:41
- That'd be a bazool. (NCFC) - Garry Brooke, May 4, 13:42:37
- and it would make a strange humming noise (n/m) (NCFC) - Claygate_Canary, May 4, 13:58:53
- SCC will be here presently to provide the exact percentage. (n/m) (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 13:53:57
- SCC just sent me your results...... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 14:42:15
- PM: essexcanaryOTBC (NCFC) - Tombs, May 4, 15:29:16
- It's hard to avoid the conclusion (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:43:01
- This from the guy who Blubbed off his password..... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 16:38:41
- It's hard to avoid the conclusion (NCFC) - norwaay, May 4, 15:43:01
- PM: essexcanaryOTBC (NCFC) - Tombs, May 4, 15:29:16
- SCC just sent me your results...... (NCFC) - usacanary, May 4, 14:42:15
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