No today gave us less chance of promotion

Teams outside the top 6 dropping points have an almost zero effect on our promotion chances - teams like Swansea and Brentford closing the gap actually make a difference

And nobody gives us an estimated 80% chance of promotion. The markets are down to 73% and 538 has seen us go from 73 to 69%

Posted By: SCC 28 on January 30th 2021 at 20:04:12

Message Thread

results were not that bad today. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 18:46:44
- We were the only team going for autos (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 30, 19:26:31
  - I think you made my point for me without realizing it. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 19:54:48
    - No today gave us less chance of promotion (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 30, 20:04:12
      - That’s how I look at it (NCFC) - SimonOTBC, Jan 30, 20:24:40
      - And how much vig are you factoring into the markets? (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 20:06:14
        
        Whatever market you look at (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 30, 20:15:23
        
        and FWIW Im seeing prices as low as 1.25/-400 (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 20:09:16
        
        Betfair, BetFred and Paddypower currently 2/9 which is 81.8 % (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 20:13:43
        
        But they don’t operate 100% books! (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 30, 20:16:35
        
        Just betfair exchange (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 30, 20:18:33
  - So our play off chances have gone up then? (NCFC) - Tombs, Jan 30, 19:32:34
    - Its a multiple step process. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 19:46:22
      - Id be more than happy to lock up top 2 (n/m) (NCFC) - Tombs, Jan 30, 19:47:53
        
        We are currently at 2.08 PPG, need just 1.7 PPG for the auto spots (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 20:01:08
        
        Also worth pointing out that 1 PPG is bottom 3 relegation form. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 30, 20:04:13
        
        i know this (NCFC) - Tombs, Jan 30, 20:08:12
  - We did have the toughest game I guess (n/m) (NCFC) - loz, Jan 30, 19:31:30
- Not really the only teams capable of autos are ... (NCFC) - loz, Jan 30, 19:25:38
  - You forgot one (n/m) (NCFC) - Wild Edric, Jan 30, 19:27:03
- good old clap clinic 👍 (n/m) (NCFC) - Tombs, Jan 30, 19:22:21
  - And another stamp on the loyalty card (n/m) (NCFC) - Wild Edric, Jan 30, 19:28:12

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