Possibly, although I would doubt that the people who've been vaccinated so far

were doing that much transmission. Suspect in many cases they were the end points of transmission, sadly.

Think the answer is more prosaic - the big falls set in about 10 days into the lockdown, exactly as you'd expect. What's really promising is that cases seem to be falling at a more or less stable 25-30% a week. That's as much as we could have hoped for, I think.

Posted By: Tricky Hawes on January 29th 2021 at 16:44:08

Message Thread

Number of cases up again (Coronavirus) - ghostof barry butler, Jan 29, 16:09:59
- Didn’t think they were. (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Biggles, Jan 29, 19:05:05
- friday last week was over 40k (Coronavirus) - Cardiff Canary, Jan 29, 16:36:54
  - So next week down to 20k ish? (n/m) (Coronavirus) - loz, Jan 29, 16:42:18
    - Maybe - lots of variables isn't there? (Coronavirus) - Cardiff Canary, Jan 29, 16:46:41
      - I don't think there's any reason to expect the rate of decline to slow (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:51:06
        
        hopefully you're right (Coronavirus) - Cardiff Canary, Jan 29, 16:54:14
        
        They do social behaviour pattern studies though ,that's why (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 29, 17:38:51
        
        Bad ... (n/m) (Coronavirus) - protheroe fitzgibbon, Jan 29, 19:11:46
        
        Yeah, the weather will make a hooge large difference (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:56:11
        
        (actually it's 2 months if they fall at 30% a week. *3 months* if they fall at 25% a week (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:53:26
    - 7 day average will be down to about 20k, fingers crossed (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:45:30
      - ignore the noise!!!! (it's the Norwich way) (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Cardiff Canary, Jan 29, 16:47:35
      - (Which, incidentally, is still really high, obviously - will only have taken us down to (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:47:02
        
        case numbers in the 'burb in which I live dropped below 50 per 100k today (Coronavirus) - Cardiff Canary, Jan 29, 16:49:03
- People waiting till the snow has passed before they get a test? (n/m) (Coronavirus) - lurd, Jan 29, 16:26:24
- No. There's a weekly pattern (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:25:25
- But by specimen date they aren’t (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 29, 16:18:07
  - Curious anomaly though.. (Coronavirus) - loz, Jan 29, 16:20:49
    - Accelerated decline oi oi (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 29, 16:22:59
      - exactly. see my post above. Nothing wrong with today's case numbers - all still good, so (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:26:55
        
        Could even be the vaccinations having an effect (n/m) (Coronavirus) - SCC 28, Jan 29, 16:32:49
        
        Possibly, although I would doubt that the people who've been vaccinated so far (Coronavirus) - Tricky Hawes, Jan 29, 16:44:08
- 2 days running? Wonder what the cause is ... (Coronavirus) - loz, Jan 29, 16:13:02
  - Idiots basically (n/m) (Coronavirus) - Biggles, Jan 29, 16:22:09
  - I heard some woman in the shop saying she needed to isolate for 10 days. (Coronavirus) - tudders, Jan 29, 16:15:24
    - Ffs 🤦‍♂️ (n/m) (Coronavirus) - loz, Jan 29, 16:17:45
      - A friend of ours moved to Whitby a couple of weeks ago, (Coronavirus) - tudders, Jan 29, 16:21:11

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.