that's not the chance of relegation, that's simply a reflection of money wagered
and therefore only reflects the opinion of gamblers
Posted By: Worzel Scrimmage on January 18th 2020 at 18:01:09
Message Thread
- 81% chance of relegation now (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 17:57:45
- that's not the chance of relegation, that's simply a reflection of money wagered (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:01:09
- and what drives the betting market....(or any market) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:14:33
- Gamblers are well known for making good life choices though (n/m) (NCFC) - Ben, Jan 18, 18:13:40
- The big money in gambling is smart money. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:16:47
- as an example...... (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:22:04
- Isn’t that Tony Bloom’s company (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:28:34
- Yep, Plus there are other succesful syndicates who are much more low profile. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:32:15
- and yet.. the average punter still thinks he can make money based on fancies (n/m) (NCFC) - wolfio, Jan 18, 18:47:30
- The average punter is really fucking stupid and loses. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:55:13
- and yet.. the average punter still thinks he can make money based on fancies (n/m) (NCFC) - wolfio, Jan 18, 18:47:30
- Yep, Plus there are other succesful syndicates who are much more low profile. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:32:15
- Isn’t that Tony Bloom’s company (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:28:34
- as an example...... (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:22:04
- The big money in gambling is smart money. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:16:47
- also the opinion of traders who set the odds (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:04:59
- the point still stands, it's opinion, not actual chances (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:08:55
- Well yes that’s sport (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:12:00
- yes, but the opinion of thousands of punters will tend to average out as more correct than (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:23:28
- Well no - quality not quantity (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:33:31
- clearly not, which is why the odds change constantly. If they're so good, they wouldn't (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:34:58
- because info changes constantly. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:44:56
- clearly not, which is why the odds change constantly. If they're so good, they wouldn't (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:34:58
- You clearly have no clue how betting markets work. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:29:26
- Well no - quality not quantity (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:33:31
- and if they dont....... smart gambling syndicates will pound them. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:17:30
- Yep the pros will smash any wrong prices (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:24:31
- The big groups will also "head fake" but thats a whole different subject. (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:33:46
- Yep the pros will smash any wrong prices (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:24:31
- yes, but the opinion of thousands of punters will tend to average out as more correct than (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:23:28
- Well yes that’s sport (NCFC) - SCC 28, Jan 18, 18:12:00
- the point still stands, it's opinion, not actual chances (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:08:55
- Thats how a great escape works..... slowly eating away at the points total. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Jan 18, 18:00:13
- that's not the chance of relegation, that's simply a reflection of money wagered (NCFC) - Worzel Scrimmage, Jan 18, 18:01:09
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