In 6 weeks absolutely anything could happen....but

1. Corbyn almost certainly peaked in 2017. He had no Brexit plan at all and his hard left agenda is not popular other than with Momentum. Likely to lose seats
2. Tories will almost certainly do a deal with Brexit Party who may withdraw many candidates. Voting system may allow them to win more seats than they deserve but could easily lose seats in London and South (Remain areas) to Lib Dems.
3. Lib Dems could do well elsewhere. Have a 'new leader' bounce and Jo Swinson does seem q good. Problem is that they are maybe too avidly pro Europe.
4. Tories will lose in Scotland and Wales to the nationalists. Scotland is remain and Wales sees 'no deal' as a financial disaster.
5. Result.....chaos. Bound to be a hung Parliament whatever.

Posted By: Saucerer on September 3rd 2019 at 22:44:47

Message Thread

Can the tories really win a majority in an election? (General Chat) - Jim, Sep 3, 22:24:03
- "threat of no deal" (General Chat) - Ralf Scrampton, Sep 3, 23:19:23
  - Very compelling. Give us a good deal (like the one we already have before Brexit anyway) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Sep 3, 23:53:57
  - Yehbut yehbut yehbut (General Chat) - Under soil heating, Sep 3, 23:21:32
    - Is that why Boris lost his first ever vote as PM? 😂 (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Sep 3, 23:55:42
- In 6 weeks absolutely anything could happen....but (General Chat) - Saucerer, Sep 3, 22:44:47
  - Pretty solid analysis. Two more things (General Chat) - Under soil heating, Sep 3, 22:55:25
    - Agree with that. Just a point on 'no deal' if that is the campaign line.... (General Chat) - Saucerer, Sep 3, 23:26:04
      - Yeh but Brexit means Brexit. Leave means leave 🤦🏻‍♂️ (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Sep 3, 23:54:59
- Professor Penface on the BBC said that current polls suggest it's 50/50 (n/m) (General Chat) - Huge Small, Sep 3, 22:35:15
- Yes they can, not sure they will (n/m) (General Chat) - earlydoors, Sep 3, 22:25:14
  - That was more my question really. I guess they are relying on (General Chat) - Jim, Sep 3, 22:27:39
    - There is a massive anti-Corbyn undercurrent outside of die-hard labour voters (General Chat) - earlydoors, Sep 3, 22:30:45
      - Really think that none of this would have happened (General Chat) - ede, Sep 3, 23:29:01
        
        Fair point (n/m) (General Chat) - essexcanaryOTBC, Sep 3, 23:56:10
      - True I suppose it’s a get Brexit plus avoid Corbyn as PM ticket (n/m) (General Chat) - Jim, Sep 3, 22:37:06
- There won’t be a split. They would campaign on no deal and repealing the bill that they (General Chat) - Tony Martin, Sep 3, 22:25:13

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