But...
From 2009 to 2013 the combined UKIP/BNP/Con share of the vote went up by 2.1%.
The combined Lab/LD/G/PC/SNP vote went up by 2.3%
and
The combined Con/LD/Lab vote went down 1%.
So the very small parties were squeezed.
The rise in UKIP support is almost entirely explained by the fall in the Tory vote and the complete collapse of the BNP/ English Nationalist vote and its migration to UKIP.
At 2009 EU election UKIP/BNP/ED polled 25%. In 2010 they polled 5.2% At the 2014 EU election they polled 28.5%. Given that the Tory vote dropped by 4% on Thursday as the normal protest against a party in government I reckon it would take a huge propaganda effort by the BBC etc to get the far right up to 8%. And even if UKIP get all that 8% they'll still win nothing.
Blip IMO.
Posted By: Winged Eel Creosote on May 27th 2014 at 07:06:56
Message Thread
- This post from yesterday deserves to be posted again (General Chat) - pants, May 27, 00:01:09
- Of course that post misses the point (General Chat) - phrankin, May 27, 11:09:32
- Why did you have to start that all over again????? (n/m) (General Chat) - Kirrie, May 27, 09:27:19
- Lets all deny the holocaust?.cover our ears and shout la la la cant hear you Nigel (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 09:14:19
- Have you *still* not walked under a bus? (n/m) (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 09:20:52
- Is there something wrong with you? (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 09:24:50
- ... (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 09:30:01
- A photo of a bus (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 09:35:41
- Cock (n/m) (General Chat) - yellowman, May 27, 09:52:46
- No son ;-) (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 10:07:32
- Cock (n/m) (General Chat) - yellowman, May 27, 09:52:46
- A photo of a bus (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 09:35:41
- ... (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 09:30:01
- Is there something wrong with you? (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 09:24:50
- The only way to resolve this is to leave Europe (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 09:15:39
- Cock (n/m) (General Chat) - yellowman, May 27, 09:53:29
- No son ;-) (n/m) (General Chat) - Upperjarroldmiddle, May 27, 10:07:43
- Cock (n/m) (General Chat) - yellowman, May 27, 09:53:29
- Have you *still* not walked under a bus? (n/m) (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 09:20:52
- it's got some good points but wrong to write UKIP off as a blip (General Chat) - CWC, May 27, 00:28:52
- Thing is, with the rise of the anti EU vote all over Europe there is now a groundswell (General Chat) - CB41, May 27, 08:41:00
- UKIP's rise isn't *really* about Europe though, is it? (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 08:46:07
- Indeed (General Chat) - Winged Eel Creosote, May 27, 10:45:09
- UKIP is that they've tapped into valid grievances but picked the wrong target (General Chat) - mr carra, May 27, 09:13:45
- UKIP's rise isn't *really* about Europe though, is it? (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 08:46:07
- But... (General Chat) - Winged Eel Creosote, May 27, 07:06:56
- stats are fine but understimate Farage at your peril (General Chat) - CWC, May 27, 10:08:36
- I think they genuinely might pick up two or three seats. (General Chat) - norway, May 27, 07:46:35
- hopefully it'll fall into the sea then... (n/m) (General Chat) - Ralf Scrampton, May 27, 08:16:38
- Thing is, with the rise of the anti EU vote all over Europe there is now a groundswell (General Chat) - CB41, May 27, 08:41:00
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