Assuming 37 points here is the form needed to avoid relegation.

Stoke -69.66%
Swansea -64.29%
Liverpool -64.29%
Norwich -47.20%
west ham -39.67%
Sunderland -24.55%
Fulham -16.19%
Newcastle -6.00%
Aston Villa 17.78%
wigan 17.78%
Southapton 17.98%
Reading 104.62%
QPR 200.00%

As you can see its pretty easy to understand why its hard for teams in the bottom 4-5 at Christmas to get away from the bottom 5
You would need an incredible increase in form just to survive.
Norwich would need a 50% dip in form to get relegated, highly unlikely

You can currently get odds as high as 14/1 for Norwich to be relegated which assuming true odds it gives us only a 7% chance of going down.

Posted By: usacanary on December 31st 2012 at 05:30:18

Message Thread

Back by popular demand......The Prediction Table of Tilt....... (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 04:51:46
- Fuck about it's Nate Silver (NCFC) - Arizona Bay, Dec 31, 12:31:13
  - I dont have to use sophisticated methods to get you to tilt (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 15:51:26
- to save anyone else wasting time (NCFC) - Henclrikus, Dec 31, 11:26:00
  - First... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 31, 11:30:30
    - Sorry, second... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 31, 11:31:46
- Play this as you read TPToT... (NCFC) - Dandy Highburyman, Dec 31, 10:45:53
- Southampton are going to have to ship some goals to go down over Villa in your PToT... (n/m) (NCFC) - Vivid Data Shark, Dec 31, 10:07:18
- What about the fact that, every year several reams experience a significant variation in (NCFC) - Linighans wake, Dec 31, 07:37:08
  - ^^^^ This is Tilt....this is.............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 15:59:29
  - correctomundo (NCFC) - Henclrikus, Dec 31, 11:57:14
    - so what you are saying is some will do better, some worse and some the same........ (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 18:10:32
  - First... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 31, 11:32:00
  - "more meaningful concepts like intuition, speculation and irrational fear" (NCFC) - Sugbad The Bad, Dec 31, 10:52:15
    - He did forget Unicorns and government conspiracies (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 18:12:00
- WBA will not finish 6th (n/m) (NCFC) - thirsty work, Dec 31, 06:43:30
- excellent work usa, have a feeling its still (NCFC) - Mozzer, Dec 31, 06:10:05
- Assuming 37 points here is the form needed to avoid relegation. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 05:30:18
  - Wow thanks (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 31, 05:31:10
    - Its 5 in the morning where you are......one of us is a chump..... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 05:35:23
      - One of us is also getting paid for it (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 31, 05:41:32
        
        One of us doesn't have to do a job. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 15:52:27

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