Back by popular demand......The Prediction Table of Tilt.......

Man Utd 93
Man City 80
Chelsea 76
Spurs 69
Arsenal 66
WBA 63
Everton 63
Stoke 55
Swansea 53
Liverpool 53
Norwich 48
west ham 46
Sunderland 42
Fulham 40
Newcastle 38
Aston Villa 34
wigan 34
Southapton 34
Reading 25
QPR 19

I ran some prelim numbers based on strength of schedule of the remaing fixtures and its probably going to take 37 points to stay up.
The bottom six have a winrate of 1.0 PPG or less.
The probability of 4 or more of the bottom 6 winning at greater than 1.0 PPG in the remaing games is low.

The good news is the QPR and Reading look doomed which hurts their chances of bringing in quality players in the window.
In the champs they would at least have the ability to bring in tons of loans.
Saints and Villa will spend, not sure about Wigan, they also have the Africa Cup of Nations to contend with which could hurt them.

Posted By: usacanary on December 31st 2012 at 04:51:46

Message Thread

Back by popular demand......The Prediction Table of Tilt....... (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 04:51:46
- Fuck about it's Nate Silver (NCFC) - Arizona Bay, Dec 31, 12:31:13
  - I dont have to use sophisticated methods to get you to tilt (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 15:51:26
- to save anyone else wasting time (NCFC) - Henclrikus, Dec 31, 11:26:00
  - First... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 31, 11:30:30
    - Sorry, second... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 31, 11:31:46
- Play this as you read TPToT... (NCFC) - Dandy Highburyman, Dec 31, 10:45:53
- Southampton are going to have to ship some goals to go down over Villa in your PToT... (n/m) (NCFC) - Vivid Data Shark, Dec 31, 10:07:18
- What about the fact that, every year several reams experience a significant variation in (NCFC) - Linighans wake, Dec 31, 07:37:08
  - ^^^^ This is Tilt....this is.............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 15:59:29
  - correctomundo (NCFC) - Henclrikus, Dec 31, 11:57:14
    - so what you are saying is some will do better, some worse and some the same........ (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 18:10:32
  - First... (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Dec 31, 11:32:00
  - "more meaningful concepts like intuition, speculation and irrational fear" (NCFC) - Sugbad The Bad, Dec 31, 10:52:15
    - He did forget Unicorns and government conspiracies (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 18:12:00
- WBA will not finish 6th (n/m) (NCFC) - thirsty work, Dec 31, 06:43:30
- excellent work usa, have a feeling its still (NCFC) - Mozzer, Dec 31, 06:10:05
- Assuming 37 points here is the form needed to avoid relegation. (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 05:30:18
  - Wow thanks (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 31, 05:31:10
    - Its 5 in the morning where you are......one of us is a chump..... (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 05:35:23
      - One of us is also getting paid for it (n/m) (NCFC) - SCC 28, Dec 31, 05:41:32
        
        One of us doesn't have to do a job. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Dec 31, 15:52:27

Reply to Message

In order to add a post to the WotB Message Board you must be a registered WotB user.

If you are not yet registered then please visit the registration page. You should ensure that their browser is setup to accept cookies.