So where will we finish.........Tilty Table Time.

OK so here is the current form table predicting us to finish 9th on 51 points

Sunderland 52
Norwich 51
Swansea 48
Stoke 48
Everton 48
Aston Villa 44
Fulham 43
WBA 41
QPR 33
Wolves 33
Bolton 32
Blackburn 29
wigan 25

Unfortunately that doesnt account for the tough run in we have.

Overall I still predict its going to take around 35-36 points to stay up based on SOS (stength of shedule)

currently after the Bolton game based on some very complex calculations involving virgins blood and dog poo I have us getting an average of 46.2 points which should be good enough for 11th to 13th place.
Before anyone gets a benny tilt on, 11th place would net Nowich around an extra 5-7 million which we hadnt budgeted for.
Beat the foxes and we could be netting an extra 10M+ this year we hadnt estimated.

Posted By: usacanary on February 5th 2012 at 22:31:36

Message Thread

So where will we finish.........Tilty Table Time. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 22:31:36
- FWIW here was my prediction before the season started. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:15:28
- So what calcs have gone in to your (sic) stength of shedule then? (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 5, 22:41:48
  - I did actually explain a couple of times where the predictive numbers come from but..... (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:22:36
    - Yes, I know that's how you got our points total, I mean how did you come to the 35-36 mark (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 5, 23:29:18
      - Oh OK, the relegation number. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:35:03
        
        Epic. (n/m) (NCFC) - Yellalee, Feb 5, 23:37:21
        
        nah its easy with Excel and programming a few macros. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:40:11
- Read down the board over the last couple of days (NCFC) - norway, Feb 5, 22:40:17
  - where? oh and FWIW I did actual predictions a while back. (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:27:17
  - at this point (NCFC) - Brandonio, Feb 5, 22:43:01
    - probably 10% at most....... and I am totally serious. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:28:18
    - lol (n/m) (NCFC) - norway, Feb 5, 22:45:12
- Could you do one based on the actual tough run-in we have please? (n/m) (NCFC) - tudders, Feb 5, 22:35:53
  - I did.........46.2 points.........TOT = 51 points (NCFC) - usacanary, Feb 5, 23:30:20
- very much WW2 (n/m) (NCFC) - Brandonio, Feb 5, 22:35:04

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