Yes, but it depends if you model for a fixed HFA or situational
Some people just use a fixed value.
Others factor in different values based on teams or rest between games. (hint: very important in betting pro sports)
As an example the NBA HFA fluctuates greatly based off rest (not public info FWIW)
Posted By: usacanary on December 30th 2011 at 18:15:14
Message Thread
- Norwich vs Fulham, odds and probabilities. (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 17:55:04
- So we're slight favourites. I reckon that's about right. (n/m) (Betting) - rolfski, Dec 30, 17:59:45
- Yep Fulham rated the slightly better team but when you......... (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:02:22
- we'd be 2.2 if both teams were equal (n/m) (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:04:32
- Yes, but it depends if you model for a fixed HFA or situational (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:15:14
- yeah the newcastle odds were situational (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:17:27
- injuries dont change the HFA value, they change the probability of the result. (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:30:20
- as i said the newcastle odds were situational (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:34:50
- Im guessing you look at science books and call them guff...... (n/m) (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 19:36:26
- as i said the newcastle odds were situational (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:34:50
- injuries dont change the HFA value, they change the probability of the result. (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:30:20
- yeah the newcastle odds were situational (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:17:27
- Yes, but it depends if you model for a fixed HFA or situational (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:15:14
- we'd be 2.2 if both teams were equal (n/m) (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:04:32
- Yep Fulham rated the slightly better team but when you......... (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:02:22
- Impossible to call this one (Betting) - norway, Dec 30, 17:59:16
- i'm confident tbh (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:00:49
- Certainly the players will feel the noticeable step down in class (Betting) - norway, Dec 30, 18:01:41
- i'm confident tbh (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 18:00:49
- fulham were favs after we lost to spurs (n/m) (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 17:56:07
- Obviously money has come in on Norwich to shift the market slightly. (n/m) (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 17:57:34
- market odds here....... (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 18:00:12
- well yeah we were just opposed after the spurs game (Betting) - 1 5CC, Dec 30, 17:59:19
- Obviously money has come in on Norwich to shift the market slightly. (n/m) (Betting) - usacanary, Dec 30, 17:57:34
- So we're slight favourites. I reckon that's about right. (n/m) (Betting) - rolfski, Dec 30, 17:59:45
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