Our realistic rivals for relegation

Here are the current relegation odds

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The three obvious choices are QPR, Swansea and Wigan

Wolves dont look to have improved too much so look likley to be in the bottom 6 most of the season

Blackburn look very shaky allround especially if the sell players like Samba before the window closes.

Newcastles odds have been tumbling for obvious reasons, some think they will struggle after losing so much quality in the last year.
Could be this years West Ham.

WBA, Hodgson has looked a bit worried in recent interviews about the lack of firepower and how much the rely on peter odemwingie for the goals.

Sunderland have made wholesale changes, bit of an unknown quantity, the market doesnt think they will go down.

Fulham, in my opinion have over achieved the past few years (so have Norwich FWIW)
Might be their year to struggle in the bottom half but I do think they have a lot of experience and quality.
The Europa thing may hurt them a bit though as it makes it a very long season.

Bolton, Not convinced with what they have brought in, cant see them finishing in the top half of the table.

Stoke, have been spending and bidding on players. I think they have a bit too much quality and muscle to be in the bottom 3 this season.

Here are my picks for a couple of big outsiders

Aston Villa, can be had for as much as 21 to 1
The price looks too high when you consider they struggled a bit last season WITH Young and Downing.
They needed Bent last season.

The betting market has them as a top 8 club
I just dont get that at all.
I think they are 10-12th at best so I would rate their odds at around 10 to 1 to get relegated.

Everton as much as 41 to 1 at some places.
Has started badly for the past few years.
Could be more vunerable than ever as rumours abound of selling players and no money to spend.
If they have a bad run of injuries (and no money to replace them) they could struggle a bit.
I think a more realistic price is closer to 20-1 to get relegated

Posted By: usacanary on August 8th 2011 at 16:01:23

Message Thread

Our realistic rivals for relegation (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:01:23
- Wigan? Wigone. Bye bye. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:28:42
- Sunderland? Blunderland. Bye bye Brucie. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:28:09
- Swansea? Gonesea. They're down. (n/m) (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:27:28
- QPR? QPR? QPR? QPahahahaha. Down. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:27:10
- Newcastle? Tooning out. Down. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:26:22
- West Brom? West Gone. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:24:47
- Have we got an 80% chance of relegation? You should do some words about that. (n/m) (NCFC) - Arizona Bay, Aug 8, 16:24:46
- Wolfs. Rolfs. Down. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:24:15
- Fulham. Martin Lol. Gone. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:23:49
- Stoke? Clubs a joke. Relegated. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:23:12
- Blackburn? It's over for Rovers. Down. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:22:41
- Bolton. Boltgone. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:22:15
- Villa. Going down. Defo. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:21:43
- Everton. Relegated. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:21:18
- Fuck im good........is this a record for monkey tilting (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:19:14
- Spurs. Modric saga ongoing, Harry twitchy. Where will the goals come from? As good as down (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:16:32
- Cannot disagree more but (NCFC) - XXL16, Aug 8, 16:16:10
  - tilt (n/m) (NCFC) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, Aug 8, 16:16:55
- so that's you tipping everybody except the top 6 and Stoke (NCFC) - Ralf Scrampton, Aug 8, 16:15:31
  - ^^^ doesnt understand words. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:17:59
  - tilt (n/m) (NCFC) - Ken Dodds Dads Dog, Aug 8, 16:16:42
    - he's just too good for me (n/m) (NCFC) - Ralf Scrampton, Aug 8, 16:18:06
      - To be fair, from reading your posts I think everyone is. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:25:02
- Arsenal. Loss of faith in Wenger. No commanding defender/Keeper. Nailed on strugglers.. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:14:49
  - Yeah and Man U are sure to struggle, Celtic will get relegated and Barca will get knocked (NCFC) - BINMEN8R, Aug 8, 16:51:07
- Liverpool. Again a lot of new players, will they gel. HAs King Kenny still got it? (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:14:11
- first match a six pointer?! (n/m) (NCFC) - revsimon, Aug 8, 16:14:05
- Chelsea. Aging squad, new unproven manager. I think they're in a world of pain. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:13:33
- Also Man U. They have had a lot of new faces come in, no guarantee they will settle. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:12:35
  - vidic and Ferdinand at the back. and rooney up front (NCFC) - Only1Doherty, Aug 8, 16:13:26
    - Who (NCFC) - CB41, Aug 8, 16:14:19
      - double whooosh (n/m) (NCFC) - Only1Doherty, Aug 8, 16:15:48
        
        Aha, treble whoosh (n/m) (NCFC) - CB41, Aug 8, 16:27:35
- I think Citeh may struggle to keep their squad happy. Internal unrest. Certs to go down. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:11:38
  - Them furriners, ok going forward in the sunshine.. (NCFC) - colincanary, Aug 8, 16:21:00
- Long is having a medical at WBA this avo apparently. They'll be OK. (NCFC) - jafski, Aug 8, 16:09:52
  - Sean Long? Good player (NCFC) - CB41, Aug 8, 16:13:06
    - Thats Shaun White (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:16:32
- who said we will be (NCFC) - grays, Aug 8, 16:06:46
  - My prediction (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:14:39
    - reading scum wba newcastle stoke (NCFC) - grays, Aug 8, 16:22:35
      - I think we will stay up but it will be really tough. (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:26:35
- Can't we wait till November to think about possible relegation? (NCFC) - CB41, Aug 8, 16:05:50
  - I hate to stop you tilt but Isnt our whole goal to avoid relegation? (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:21:39
    - Don't know about the "us" - mine is to go to football matches and, hopefully, (NCFC) - CB41, Aug 8, 16:36:34
      - No, to be fair, you were tilting. You were so annoyed you flung shit at the screen, then (NCFC) - Arizona Bay, Aug 8, 16:42:01
      - "The fucking season hasn't even started yet." (NCFC) - usacanary, Aug 8, 16:41:52
        
        Sounds quite normal to me (n/m) (NCFC) - CB41, Aug 8, 17:38:49
  - lol (NCFC) - grays, Aug 8, 16:07:16

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