The updated table of predicted tilt......plus some comments.
QPR 91
Norwich 81
Swansea 78
Cardiff 77
Leeds 76
NF 75
Burnley 74
Reading 69
Leicester 68
Hull 68
Watford 68
Milwall 66
10 games to go, with cardiffs draw, wow its opened things up a little more.
This is looking more and more like the 2007/8 champs season, very low points totals so far.
User Posted Link
Having run a MC simulation its pretty clear that if we can achieve 6 wins from the last 10 games we have around an 85% chance of getting the 2nd spot (that doesnt include a possible QPR points deduction)
with 7 wins its over 95% chance currently.
Our chances are over 90% with six wins if one of the 6 wins is vs Swansea.
6 wins and draw vs Swansea should be enough, 1.90 ppg vs our current seasonal 1.75 ppg
Our run in.
Bristol City H (Mon 14th Mar)
Hull City A (Sat 19th Mar)
Scunthorpe H (Sat 2nd April)
Swansea A (Sat 9th April)
Watford A (Tues 12th April)
NF H (Fri 15th April)
Scum A (Thurs 21st April)
Derby H (mon 25th April)
Portsmouth A (Sat 30th April)
Coventry H (Sat 7th May)
Looking the shedule there is a very nasty run of 3 games in just 6 days against Swansea, Watford and NF
All very tough games.
I am worried about our squad strength a little.
On the plus side.......technically it is possible for us to be automatically promoted at.......Portman Road!
Oh yes.......if we were to win the next 6 (or 5 wins and 1 draw) it is more than possible that a win portman road would promote us automatically.........
If there is a God.......... please make it happen.......
Let tilt commence.......in 3----2-----1........
Posted By: usacanary on March 13th 2011 at 20:32:44
Message Thread
- The updated table of predicted tilt......plus some comments. (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 13, 20:32:44
- What does it mean? (n/m) (NCFC) - tudders, Mar 13, 20:43:40
- What life? The Universe? Who knows? (n/m) (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 13, 20:46:02
- 5 games in 17 days (NCFC) - SCC 28, Mar 13, 20:38:15
- Thinking negatively (NCFC) - APB, Mar 13, 20:37:10
- your table (NCFC) - LowestoftBoy, Mar 13, 20:35:33
- ^^^ first tilt (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 13, 20:45:12
- that mong has got his flag on back to front (NCFC) - Tombs, Mar 13, 21:06:14
- Not a 'tilt' really though, is it? (NCFC) - King, Mar 13, 21:01:43
- ^^^ 4th rule of tilt club............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 13, 21:06:41
- Ah, I get it. You're a cunt. (NCFC) - King, Mar 13, 22:20:45
- ^^^ 4th rule of tilt club............. (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 13, 21:06:41
- ^^^ first tilt (NCFC) - usacanary, Mar 13, 20:45:12
- What does it mean? (n/m) (NCFC) - tudders, Mar 13, 20:43:40
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