Its that moment of the week that the "hater tilterz" look forward too.

Fill ya boots......dip ya bread.......I give you...........

The PREDICTION table of tilt

QPR 91
Norwich 81
Cardiff 78
Swansea 78
Leeds 76
NF 75
Burnley 74
Reading 69
Leicester 68
Hull 68
Watford 68
Milwall 66

Not sure why anyone would get tilted by looking at such a sweet table..... it makes some good reading at the moment

It should come as no surprise after todays results, that after running a monte carlo simulation....... our probability of getting 2nd increased quite a bit and our chances of at least making the playoffs also increased.
Our chances of winning the title went down a bit though. (who cares right!)
A ten point deduction of QPR would make it very interesting.
A 3-5 point deduction wouldnt change their chances of getting one of the top two spots that much at all.
They would still have a huge probability edge over the current 3rd place team

Based on current standings and seasonal form. (excluding any possible points deductions!)

From the last 10 games.....

Norwich need

(1) 4 more wins for a playoff place

(2) 7 more wins for 2nd (6 wins plus a draw or two is enough)

(3) At least 9 wins for the title (probably at least 9 wins and a draw)

Thats not happening.........

I did run the simulation if QPR got deducted 10 and 5 points

In the 10 point case we would only probably only need around 84 points (6 wins 3 draws 1 loss or 7 wins 3 losses)

In the 5 point case we would still need around 8-9 wins which is a huge ask from 10 games for any team.

Posted By: usacanary on March 12th 2011 at 18:50:30

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