Yeah but, I backed between 45 and 65 at 3.00 for ?7

And stuck the other ?3 on a red card at 4.00

Unlike you and your lump on lay under 4.5 cards with a referee who's average of yellows alone is 1 in 4, and over 40 games has shown 10 reds, which in stats, equates to 170, ie 4.25 cards a game

Your prediction of value was shatteringly bad as you were using a must win match to prove a mans average with a 0.25 edge (when the 40 games he's reffed won't have all be so important)

Plus, if you use real make up stats, ie 1 for yellow and 2.5 for a red. Then Dean's stats are

40 plus 25

65 div by 40 = 4.63

Meaning that laying off under 5 bookings, was, by anyones standards, a bloody funny tip

Posted By: pants on May 12th 2009 at 12:53:48

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