My guess is

I believe his plan is to resign to stop the parliamentary investigation, which has to stop while a by-election is ongoing, to put himself up for re-election under a ‘people vs establishment’ scenario but, at the last minute, he will choose to step away from running and then, whoever replaces him in Clacton, he will say that they only won the election because Reform stood down.

He will then use the publicity and attention to remain on the sidelines and continue to shape politics without having to be in a position of responsibility. Farage is well aware that his kind of politics has a shelf-life - from a business perspective (and Reform are a Limited Company, not a political party), its success only lasts as long as they are the opposition, shouting from the sidelines that they would be doing things better and never having to prove it. Farage knows that every constituency that has voted for Reform has come to feel frustrated and betrayed by Reform. Those who have yet to experience a Reform council will continue to back Farage until they themselves experience the consequences of a Reform representative.

Farage has no intention of ever being Prime Minister. He knows that, if he ever did make it that far, his own voters will turn on him within five years when they realise he’s not in it for them and his source of income - making money from stirring up hatred and division - will cease. It’s in his own personal interest to convince the public that he is ‘the man the establishment kept out’ rather than be the man who conned the public into voting for him before screwing them over.

Posted By: tim berry, Jul 7, 16:44:42