There's no local polling whatsoever.

This is just finger in the air stuff.

"PollCheck does not conduct its own polling. Projections are built from national polling data, local election history, and demographic modelling - not ward-level surveys. Individual ward results will vary from these estimates."

And there are 4,851 council seats being contested so I think we can be pretty sure that any "modelling" is about as rudimentary as it gets.

That being said, don't doubt that Reform will post big numbers.

Posted By: norwaay, May 5, 11:30:22