This would assume 75 points which has an extremely high probability of making the playoffs.
A lot of the teams are also on a good run compared to their form from the first 20 games.
There is a high probability that at least 50% of these teams will revert to mean.
Also we have to look at strength of schedule for the last 13 to the next 13 if we want to compare apples to apples over this small sample.
Having run a Monte Carlo simulation I would wager there is a high probability of making the playoffs with 75 points (24 points from 13 games)
2PPG (26 points from 13 games) gives a 95%+ chance.
Posted By: usacanary, Feb 21, 14:49:55
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