Well PromoViz does suggest that we have a 21.5% chance of winning at Home Park.

However, it shows a 61% chance that our Xg will be less than 1.0. If you add that to Plymouth’s anticipated Xg is given as 73% chance of being greater than 1.0 it indicates that their win likelihood of 49% is not an unreasonable conclusion.

Posted By: Boyer, Sep 21, 14:09:09