If the probability was correct it would match actual goals...

I love it when thicko's don't understand basic math.

If we flip a fair coin we know heads is a 50% probability. (0.50)

Flip enough samples and heads will be extremely close to 50%

Yet we have enough samples of predicted goals vs actual goals and they don't match.

Posted By: usacanary, Sep 1, 13:53:27