Some suprising discoveries.

When I ran the simulations I was really surprised by some of the results and probabilities.

The most surprising by far was
70 points 2W 4D 0L ~27%

This comes down purely to GD as winning 2 games and drawing 4 games will only make it more positive.
This essentially turns 70 points into a faux 71 points.
If another team is on 70 its unlikely they would have increased their GD much with only 70 points.

If asked if drawing at Boro would be bad result, I would have thought it would be slightly negative at 1PPG but overall its actually a very slight positive which again surprised me.

Posted By: usacanary, Apr 8, 19:23:12