It makes perfect sense.

If I say to you on day 1, we have a 40% of winning the title, and on day 5, we have a 60% of winning the title, nothing much having happened in the meantime, you would be perfectly entitled to think I haven't got a clue what I'm talking about - these figures don't reflect reality. And you'd be right. Our chances of winning the title - at this stage - don't fluctuate wildly from week to week. It's being blinded by a false sense of certainty provided by numbers.

Posted By: paulg, Feb 18, 12:34:33