You would have to look at their strength of schedule...

Their remaining games could be "easier" than their played games.
It could predict a total points value of as high as 32 points so might be really close.
If the line is evens then the true line with Vig means the market is probably giving them less than a 48% chance to get relegated.

Posted By: usacanary, Jan 28, 17:22:43