I think it'll be an outcome along the lines of this article:

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Hung parliament but with the Tory party less rebellious and easier to control. Fewer Lab rebels.

Probably enough to pass Johnson's deal, but that's the current situation anyway (if he can just get it to a straight vote, which is possible if the EU refuse to extend further)

It's all to play for.

Johnson will get his majority if he can keep the Brexit Party vote down.
Corbyn will get his majority if he can convince Lib Dem and Lab voters to vote tactically in the right places (won't happen though)
Libs will take some Con marginals and maybe one or two Lab seats.
SNP will take most of the Scottish Con seats.
DUP will lose one or two.

Will come down to how many seats Johnson can take off Labour, but I think it'll be a hung parliament again, just with a slightly different balance of power and 'maybe' Libs and SNP having more of a say than the DUP/ERG over the direction of the future EU relationship.

The poll leads for Johnson won't translate into a uniform swing so doesn't really tell us much other than not many people think Corbyn is doing a great job.

Posted By: CWC, Oct 29, 12:15:26