This is the best bit and why a fit Pukki will keep us up

Of course, any Norwich analysis from the weekend would be completely remiss without a short glance in the direction of the goal machine that is Teemu Pukki. The Finnish striker is the only player to have ever scored in his first two Premier League games. He has 4 goals from 10 shots and probably most impressively, those four goals have come from an expected goals value of 1.09. Expected Goals (xG) is a statistical model that looks to place a value on the quality of chances a team creates or a player has. The value is derived by looking several thousand shots from various locations, assist types and directions and seeing what the outcome was (goal or not).

From Pukki’s chance quality this season, he would be expected to score 1-2 goals (obviously you cannot score 1.09). This may seem insignificant in terms of sample size but Pukki has been outperforming xG for some time. Last season in the Championship, Pukki generated 22.98 Non-penalty expected goals. His return of 29 non-penalty goals was the highest over performance of xG in the whole league. He is a proven, elite finisher; able to take chances with one or two touch finishes whilst the Goalkeeper is still not set. He possesses a high level of intelligence to make the runs he does, is deceptively quick through acceleration phase and has excellent work rate

Posted By: SCC 28, Aug 20, 08:27:06